logo
Ontario

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


Ontario flag

GTA/905

30 provincial districts
Latest update: April 20, 2026

GTA/905 41% 56% 48% ± 7% PC 32% 47% 40% ± 7% OLP 5% 9% 7% ± 2% NDP 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
GTA/905, 30 federal districts 19 [15-25] PC 10 [4-14] OLP 1  [1-1] NDP 338Canada seat projection | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.

Ontario Projection | GTA/905

Ontario Seat Projection | GTA/905



Ontario flag

List of districts | GTA/905
Latest update: April 20, 2026

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
Robert Cerjanec
L Leaning OLP
PC Likely PCPO
Charmaine Williams
PC Likely PCPO
Hardeep Grewal
PC Likely PCPO
Graham Mcgregor
PC Likely PCPO
Prabmeet Singh Sarkaria
PC Likely PCPO
Amarjot Sandhu
PC Likely PCPO
Natalie Pierre
PC Leaning OLP
Todd Mccarthy
PC Likely PCPO
Stephen Lecce
PC Safe PCPO
Paul Calandra
PC Toss up OLP/PC
Logan Kanapathi
PC Leaning PCPO
PC Safe PCPO
Zee Hamid
PC Toss up OLP/PC
Natalia Kusendova
PC Toss up OLP/PC
PC Toss up OLP/PC
Sheref Sabawy
PC Leaning OLP
Rudy Cuzzetto
PC Toss up OLP/PC
Deepak Anand
PC Leaning PCPO
PC Toss up OLP/PC
Dawn Gallagher Murphy
PC Toss up OLP/PC
Stephen Crawford
PC Toss up OLP/PC
Effie Triantafilopoulos
PC Toss up OLP/PC
Jennifer French
N Likely NDP
Peter Bethlenfalvy
PC Toss up OLP/PC
Daisy Wai
PC Likely PCPO
Laura Smith
PC Safe PCPO
Michael Tibollo
PC Safe PCPO
Lorne Coe
PC Toss up OLP/PC
Caroline Mulroney
PC Safe PCPO