GTA/905, 30 districts
Latest update: July 29, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today.
The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes.
The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean.
Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.
Popular vote projection | GTA/905
Seat projection | GTA/905
Seat projection | GTA/905
Latest update: July 29, 2024
Safe | Likely | Leaning | Toss up | Projected ahead | Last election (2022) | |
14 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 30 | 29 | |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
List of electoral districts | GTA/905
Latest update: July 29, 2024
Electoral district | Current party | Latest projection |
---|---|---|
001 Ajax | Leaning PCPO | |
003 Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill | Safe PCPO | |
008 Brampton Centre | Safe PCPO | |
009 Brampton East | Safe PCPO | |
010 Brampton North | Safe PCPO | |
011 Brampton South | Safe PCPO | |
012 Brampton West | Safe PCPO | |
015 Burlington | Likely PCPO | |
024 Durham | Safe PCPO | |
047 King—Vaughan | Safe PCPO | |
057 Markham—Stouffville | Likely PCPO | |
058 Markham—Thornhill | Likely PCPO | |
059 Markham—Unionville | Safe PCPO | |
060 Milton | Likely PCPO | |
061 Mississauga Centre | Leaning PCPO | |
062 Mississauga East—Cooksville | Leaning PCPO | |
063 Mississauga—Erin Mills | Leaning PCPO | |
064 Mississauga—Lakeshore | Leaning PCPO | |
065 Mississauga—Malton | Likely PCPO | |
066 Mississauga—Streetsville | Likely PCPO | |
069 Newmarket—Aurora | Likely PCPO | |
076 Oakville | Likely PCPO | |
077 Oakville North—Burlington | Likely PCPO | |
079 Oshawa | Leaning PCPO | |
089 Pickering—Uxbridge | Safe PCPO | |
091 Richmond Hill | Safe PCPO | |
106 Thornhill | Safe PCPO | |
115 Vaughan—Woodbridge | Likely PCPO | |
118 Whitby | Safe PCPO | |
124 York—Simcoe | Safe PCPO |