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GTA/905

30 provincial districts
Latest update: May 24, 2026

GTA/905 37% 52% 44% ± 7% PC 35% 50% 43% ± 7% OLP 6% 10% 8% ± 2% NDP 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 24, 2026
Methodology note. Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
GTA/905, 30 federal districts 16 [11-18] OLP 13 [11-18] PC 1  [1-1] NDP 338Canada seat projection | May 24, 2026
Methodology note. Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.

Ontario Projection | GTA/905

Ontario Seat Projection | GTA/905



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List of districts | GTA/905
Latest update: May 24, 2026

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
Robert Cerjanec
L Likely OLP
PC Likely PCPO
Charmaine Williams
PC Leaning PCPO
Hardeep Grewal
PC Likely PCPO
Graham Mcgregor
PC Likely PCPO
Prabmeet Singh Sarkaria
PC Leaning PCPO
Amarjot Sandhu
PC Likely PCPO
Natalie Pierre
PC Likely OLP
Todd Mccarthy
PC Likely PCPO
Stephen Lecce
PC Safe PCPO
Paul Calandra
PC Leaning OLP
Logan Kanapathi
PC Toss up OLP/PC
PC Likely PCPO
Zee Hamid
PC Leaning OLP
Natalia Kusendova
PC Leaning OLP
PC Likely OLP
Sheref Sabawy
PC Likely OLP
Rudy Cuzzetto
PC Likely OLP
Deepak Anand
PC Toss up OLP/PC
PC Likely OLP
Dawn Gallagher Murphy
PC Likely OLP
Stephen Crawford
PC Likely OLP
Effie Triantafilopoulos
PC Leaning OLP
Jennifer French
N Likely NDP
Peter Bethlenfalvy
PC Leaning OLP
Daisy Wai
PC Leaning PCPO
Laura Smith
PC Safe PCPO
Michael Tibollo
PC Safe PCPO
Lorne Coe
PC Leaning OLP
Caroline Mulroney
PC Safe PCPO