GTA/905
30 provincial districts
Latest update: February 18, 2026
Seat and vote projections — GTA/905
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GTA/905
30 provincial districts
Latest update: February 18, 2026
Methodology note.
Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Methodology note.
Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.
Ontario Projection | GTA/905
Ontario Seat Projection | GTA/905
List of districts | GTA/905
Latest update: February 18, 2026
| Electoral districts | Current party |
Projection |
|---|---|---|
Robert Cerjanec
|
Toss up OLP/PC | |
Michael Parsa
|
Safe PCPO | |
Charmaine Williams
|
Likely PCPO | |
Hardeep Grewal
|
Safe PCPO | |
Graham Mcgregor
|
Safe PCPO | |
Prabmeet Singh Sarkaria
|
Safe PCPO | |
Amarjot Sandhu
|
Safe PCPO | |
Natalie Pierre
|
Toss up OLP/PC | |
Todd Mccarthy
|
Safe PCPO | |
Stephen Lecce
|
Safe PCPO | |
Paul Calandra
|
Likely PCPO | |
Logan Kanapathi
|
Likely PCPO | |
Billy Pang
|
Safe PCPO | |
Zee Hamid
|
Likely PCPO | |
Natalia Kusendova
|
Likely PCPO | |
Silvia Gualtieri
|
Leaning PCPO | |
Sheref Sabawy
|
Toss up OLP/PC | |
Rudy Cuzzetto
|
Leaning PCPO | |
Deepak Anand
|
Likely PCPO | |
Nina Tangri
|
Leaning PCPO | |
Dawn Gallagher Murphy
|
Likely PCPO | |
Stephen Crawford
|
Leaning PCPO | |
Effie Triantafilopoulos
|
Likely PCPO | |
Jennifer French
|
Leaning NDP | |
Peter Bethlenfalvy
|
Likely PCPO | |
Daisy Wai
|
Safe PCPO | |
Laura Smith
|
Safe PCPO | |
Michael Tibollo
|
Safe PCPO | |
Lorne Coe
|
Likely PCPO | |
Caroline Mulroney
|
Safe PCPO |