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GTA/905

30 provincial districts
Latest update: February 18, 2026

GTA/905 45% 60% 53% ± 8% PC 28% 42% 35% ± 7% OLP 6% 10% 8% ± 2% NDP 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
GTA/905, 30 federal districts 29 [24-30] PC 1  [0-1] NDP 0 [0-5] OLP 338Canada seat projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.

Ontario Projection | GTA/905

Ontario Seat Projection | GTA/905



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List of districts | GTA/905
Latest update: February 18, 2026

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
Robert Cerjanec
L Toss up OLP/PC
PC Safe PCPO
Charmaine Williams
PC Likely PCPO
Hardeep Grewal
PC Safe PCPO
Graham Mcgregor
PC Safe PCPO
Prabmeet Singh Sarkaria
PC Safe PCPO
Amarjot Sandhu
PC Safe PCPO
Natalie Pierre
PC Toss up OLP/PC
Todd Mccarthy
PC Safe PCPO
Stephen Lecce
PC Safe PCPO
Paul Calandra
PC Likely PCPO
Logan Kanapathi
PC Likely PCPO
PC Safe PCPO
Zee Hamid
PC Likely PCPO
Natalia Kusendova
PC Likely PCPO
PC Leaning PCPO
Sheref Sabawy
PC Toss up OLP/PC
Rudy Cuzzetto
PC Leaning PCPO
Deepak Anand
PC Likely PCPO
PC Leaning PCPO
Dawn Gallagher Murphy
PC Likely PCPO
Stephen Crawford
PC Leaning PCPO
Effie Triantafilopoulos
PC Likely PCPO
Jennifer French
N Leaning NDP
Peter Bethlenfalvy
PC Likely PCPO
Daisy Wai
PC Safe PCPO
Laura Smith
PC Safe PCPO
Michael Tibollo
PC Safe PCPO
Lorne Coe
PC Likely PCPO
Caroline Mulroney
PC Safe PCPO