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Ontario


Whitby


MPP: Coe, Lorne (PCPO)


Latest projection: March 5, 2024

Safe PCPO
Whitby 46% ± 9%▲ 24% ± 7%▼ 20% ± 6%▼ 7% ± 4%▲ PCPO 2022 48.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 5, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Whitby >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | March 5, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Whitby

OLP 24% ± 7% PCPO 46% ± 9% NDP 20% ± 6% GPO 7% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Whitby 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Odds of winning | Whitby

OLP <1% PCPO >99% NDP <1% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Whitby



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 41.4% 46.3% 48.5% 46% ± 9% NDP 21.0% 36.0% 21.7% 20% ± 6% OLP 32.8% 13.0% 20.7% 24% ± 7% GPO 4.3% 3.4% 5.2% 7% ± 4% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 2.0% 2% ± 2% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 1% ± 1%