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Recent electoral history | Toronto Centre


2018 2022 2025 Projection NDP 46% ± 10% 53.7% 43.8% 44.5% OLP 35% ± 9% 27.2% 36.7% 36.2% PC 14% ± 5% 14.1% 12.2% 14.5% GPO 3% ± 2% 3.1% 5.1% 2.7% NBPO 1% ± 1% 0.0% 1.1% 0.7% IND 0% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4%

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338Canada Toronto Centre projection

Latest update: April 20, 2026

Toronto Centre 36% 56% 46% ± 10% NDP 26% 45% 35% ± 9% OLP 8% 19% 14% ± 5% PC NDP 2025 44.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Toronto Centre 95%▲ NDP 5%▼ OLP <1% PC Odds of winning | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Toronto Centre

Odds of winning | Toronto Centre