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Ontario

Toronto Centre


MPP: Wong-Tam, Kristyn (NDP)
Latest projection: February 20, 2025
Leaning OLP

Candidates | Toronto Centre


PC Party of Ontario Ruth Farkas
Liberal Party Holly Rasky
Ontario NDP Kristyn Wong-Tam
Green Party Andrew Massey
New Blue Party Steve Hoehlmann
Progress Party Sana Ahmad
Independent Cory Deville

Candidates listed here are on the Elections Ontario website.

Toronto Centre 40% ± 9%▲ OLP 36% ± 9% NDP 17% ± 6% PCPO 6% ± 4% GPO NDP 2022 43.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 20, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Toronto Centre 71% OLP 29% NDP <1% PCPO Odds of winning | February 20, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Toronto Centre

OLP 40% ± 9% PCPO 17% ± 6% NDP 36% ± 9% GPO 6% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Toronto Centre 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP GPO February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 OLP 39% NDP 38% PCPO 14% GPO 6% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 OLP 39% NDP 38% PCPO 14% GPO 6% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 OLP 38% NDP 38% PCPO 16% GPO 6% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 OLP 38% NDP 38% PCPO 16% GPO 6% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 OLP 39% NDP 38% PCPO 16% GPO 6% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 OLP 40% NDP 37% PCPO 16% GPO 6% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 OLP 40% NDP 37% PCPO 16% GPO 6% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 OLP 39% NDP 37% PCPO 17% GPO 6% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 OLP 39% NDP 37% PCPO 17% GPO 6% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 OLP 39% NDP 37% PCPO 16% GPO 6% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 OLP 38% NDP 38% PCPO 17% GPO 6% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 OLP 39% NDP 37% PCPO 17% GPO 6% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 OLP 40% NDP 36% PCPO 17% GPO 6% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 OLP 40% NDP 35% PCPO 17% GPO 6% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 OLP 40% NDP 35% PCPO 17% GPO 6% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 OLP 39% NDP 36% PCPO 17% GPO 6% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 OLP 39% NDP 36% PCPO 17% GPO 6% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 OLP 39% NDP 36% PCPO 17% GPO 6% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 OLP 40% NDP 36% PCPO 16% GPO 6% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 OLP 40% NDP 36% PCPO 16% GPO 6% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 OLP 39% NDP 36% PCPO 17% GPO 6% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 OLP 40% NDP 36% PCPO 17% GPO 6% 2025-02-20

Odds of winning | Toronto Centre

OLP 71% NDP 29% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP NDP February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 OLP 58% NDP 42% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 OLP 58% NDP 42% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 OLP 53% NDP 47% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 OLP 53% NDP 47% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 OLP 54% NDP 46% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 OLP 68% NDP 32% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 OLP 69% NDP 31% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 OLP 66% NDP 34% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 OLP 66% NDP 34% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 OLP 66% NDP 34% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 OLP 54% NDP 46% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 OLP 62% NDP 38% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 OLP 73% NDP 27% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 OLP 80% NDP 20% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 OLP 81% NDP 19% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 OLP 69% NDP 31% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 OLP 70% NDP 30% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 OLP 71% NDP 29% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 OLP 71% NDP 29% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 OLP 71% NDP 29% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 OLP 71% NDP 29% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 OLP 71% NDP 29% 2025-02-20

Recent electoral history | Toronto Centre



2014 2018 2022 Proj. NDP 19.5% 53.7% 43.8% 36% ± 9% OLP 60.5% 27.2% 36.7% 40% ± 9% PCPO 12.2% 14.1% 12.2% 17% ± 6% GPO 4.7% 3.1% 5.1% 6% ± 4% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 0% ± 1%