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Ontario


Newmarket—Aurora


MPP: Gallagher Murphy, Dawn (PC)


Latest projection: March 17, 2023

Likely PCPO
Newmarket—Aurora 44% ± 9% PCPO 33% ± 8% OLP 12% ± 5% NDP 6% ± 4% GPO 4% ± 3% NBPO PCPO 2022 44.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2023
50% 100% Newmarket—Aurora 97% PCPO 3% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 17, 2023


Popular vote projection | Newmarket—Aurora

OLP 33% ± 8% PCPO 44% ± 9% NDP 12% ± 5% GPO 6% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Newmarket—Aurora 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Odds of winning | Newmarket—Aurora

OLP 3% PCPO 97% NDP <1% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Newmarket—Aurora



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 36.7% 47.3% 44.9% 44% ± 9% OLP 44.1% 23.0% 31.4% 33% ± 8% NDP 11.9% 23.9% 12.7% 12% ± 5% GPO 4.0% 3.6% 5.6% 6% ± 4% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 3.7% 4% ± 3% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 1.3% 1% ± 2%