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Ontario

Ottawa, 8 districts


Latest update: February 28, 2025
Ottawa 42% ± 2%▲ OLP 32% ± 2%▼ PCPO 21% ± 2% NDP 3% ± 1%▼ GPO 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 28, 2025
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Ottawa, 8 districts 5▲ [5-5] OLP 2▲ [2-2] NDP 1▼ [1-1] PCPO 0 [0-0] GPO 338Canada seat projection | February 28, 2025
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Ottawa

OLP 42% ± 2% PCPO 32% ± 2% NDP 21% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Ottawa 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 28, 2025 2025-01-27 OLP 35% PCPO 33% NDP 25% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 OLP 35% PCPO 33% NDP 24% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 35% OLP 34% NDP 24% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 35% OLP 34% NDP 24% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 35% OLP 34% NDP 24% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 35% OLP 35% NDP 23% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 35% OLP 35% NDP 23% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 36% OLP 34% NDP 23% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 36% OLP 34% NDP 23% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 35% OLP 35% NDP 23% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 36% OLP 34% NDP 24% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 36% OLP 34% NDP 23% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 36% OLP 35% NDP 22% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 36% OLP 35% NDP 22% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 36% OLP 35% NDP 22% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 36% OLP 36% NDP 21% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 36% OLP 36% NDP 21% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 36% OLP 36% NDP 21% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 OLP 36% PCPO 35% NDP 22% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 OLP 36% PCPO 35% NDP 21% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 OLP 36% PCPO 36% NDP 21% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 OLP 36% PCPO 36% NDP 21% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 OLP 36% PCPO 36% NDP 21% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 OLP 36% PCPO 36% NDP 22% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 OLP 36% PCPO 36% NDP 22% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 OLP 36% PCPO 35% NDP 22% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 OLP 36% PCPO 35% NDP 22% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 OLP 36% PCPO 36% NDP 21% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 OLP 36% PCPO 36% NDP 21% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 OLP 42% PCPO 32% NDP 21% 2025-02-28

Seat projection | Ottawa

OLP 5 [5-5] PCPO 1 [1-1] NDP 2 [2-2] Seat projection | Ottawa 5 4 3 2 1 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 28, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PCPO 4 OLP 3 NDP 1 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 OLP 5 NDP 2 PCPO 1 2025-02-28

Seat projection | Ottawa


Latest update: February 28, 2025
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2022)
3 2 0 0 5 3
2 0 0 0 2 2
0 1 0 0 1 3

List of electoral districts | Ottawa


Latest update: February 28, 2025
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
017 Carleton Likely PCPO
043 Kanata—Carleton Likely OLP
068 Nepean Likely OLP
078 Orléans Safe OLP
080 Ottawa Centre Safe NDP
081 Ottawa South Safe OLP
082 Ottawa West—Nepean Safe NDP
083 Ottawa—Vanier Safe OLP