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Ontario

Ottawa, 8 districts



Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2022)
3 0 0 1 4 3
0 1 0 1 2 3
1 0 0 1 2 2
0 0 0 0 0 0




Projection | Ottawa


Latest update: March 5, 2024
Ottawa 38% ± 7%▼ 29% ± 6%▲ 24% ± 5%▼ 6% ± 3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 5, 2024
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Ottawa, 8 districts 4▼ [3-5] 2▲ [2-4] 2 [1-2] 0 [0-0] 338Canada seat projection | March 5, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Ottawa

OLP 38% ± 7% PCPO 29% ± 6% NDP 24% ± 5% GPO 6% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Ottawa 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Seat projection | Ottawa

OLP 4 [3-5] PCPO 2 [2-4] NDP 2 [1-2] Seat projection | Ottawa 5 4 3 2 1 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP

List of electoral districts


Latest update: March 5, 2024
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
017 Carleton Likely PCPO
043 Kanata—Carleton Toss up OLP/PCPO
068 Nepean Toss up OLP/PCPO
078 Orléans Safe OLP
080 Ottawa Centre Safe NDP
081 Ottawa South Safe OLP
082 Ottawa West—Nepean Toss up PCPO/NDP
083 Ottawa—Vanier Safe OLP