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Recent electoral history | Davenport


2018 2022 2025 Projection NDP 60% ± 10% 60.3% 57.1% 57.2% OLP 19% ± 7% 18.7% 19.2% 20.4% PC 18% ± 7% 16.1% 14.1% 17.9% GPO 3% ± 2% 3.6% 4.8% 3.1%

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338Canada Davenport projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Davenport 50% 69% 60% ± 10% NDP 12% 26% 19% ± 7% OLP 11% 24% 18% ± 7% PC NDP 2025 57.21% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Davenport >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% PC Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Davenport

Odds of winning | Davenport