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Ontario


Nepean


MPP: Macleod, Lisa (PCPO)


Latest projection: March 5, 2024

Toss up OLP/PCPO
Nepean 38% ± 8%▼ 36% ± 8%▲ 18% ± 6%▼ 5% ± 3% PCPO 2022 39.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 5, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Nepean 59%▼ 41%▲ <1% Odds of winning | March 5, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Nepean

OLP 38% ± 8% PCPO 36% ± 8% NDP 18% ± 6% GPO 5% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Nepean 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Odds of winning | Nepean

OLP 59% PCPO 41% NDP <1% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Nepean



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 43.2% 45.2% 39.2% 36% ± 8% OLP 36.3% 19.6% 33.4% 38% ± 8% NDP 13.5% 28.6% 20.1% 18% ± 6% GPO 5.5% 5.1% 4.1% 5% ± 3% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 2.3% 2% ± 2% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 1% ± 1%