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Ontario

Nepean


MPP: Macleod, Lisa (PCPO)
Latest projection: February 20, 2025
Likely PCPO

Candidates | Nepean


PC Party of Ontario Alex Lewis
Liberal Party Tyler Watt
Ontario NDP Max Blair
Green Party Sheilagh Mclean
New Blue Party John Kovach
Ontario Party Carmen Charbonneau
Independent Peter Westaway

Candidates listed here are on the Elections Ontario website.

Nepean 44% ± 9% PCPO 35% ± 9% OLP 14% ± 5% NDP 5% ± 3% GPO PCPO 2022 39.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 20, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Nepean 95%▲ PCPO 5%▼ OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 20, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Nepean

OLP 35% ± 9% PCPO 44% ± 9% NDP 14% ± 5% GPO 5% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Nepean 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP GPO February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 41% OLP 34% NDP 18% GPO 5% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 41% OLP 34% NDP 18% GPO 5% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 43% OLP 33% NDP 17% GPO 5% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 44% OLP 33% NDP 17% GPO 5% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 43% OLP 34% NDP 17% GPO 5% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 44% OLP 34% NDP 16% GPO 5% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 44% OLP 34% NDP 16% GPO 5% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 44% OLP 34% NDP 16% GPO 5% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 44% OLP 34% NDP 16% GPO 5% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 44% OLP 34% NDP 16% GPO 5% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 44% OLP 33% NDP 16% GPO 5% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 44% OLP 34% NDP 16% GPO 5% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 44% OLP 34% NDP 15% GPO 5% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 44% OLP 35% NDP 15% GPO 5% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 44% OLP 34% NDP 15% GPO 5% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 44% OLP 35% NDP 14% GPO 5% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 45% OLP 35% NDP 14% GPO 5% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 45% OLP 35% NDP 14% GPO 5% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 43% OLP 35% NDP 14% GPO 5% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 43% OLP 35% NDP 14% GPO 5% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 44% OLP 35% NDP 14% GPO 5% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 44% OLP 35% NDP 14% GPO 5% 2025-02-20

Odds of winning | Nepean

OLP 5% PCPO 95% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 87% OLP 13% NDP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 88% OLP 12% NDP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 96% OLP 4% NDP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 97% OLP 3% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 95% OLP 5% NDP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 94% OLP 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 94% OLP 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 97% OLP 3% NDP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 96% OLP 4% NDP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 95% OLP 5% NDP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 97% OLP 3% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 97% OLP 3% NDP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 96% OLP 4% NDP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 95% OLP 5% NDP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 95% OLP 5% NDP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 95% OLP 5% NDP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 96% OLP 4% NDP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 96% OLP 4% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 92% OLP 8% NDP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 91% OLP 9% NDP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 94% OLP 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 95% OLP 5% NDP <1% 2025-02-20

Recent electoral history | Nepean



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 43.2% 45.2% 39.2% 44% ± 9% OLP 36.3% 19.6% 33.4% 35% ± 9% NDP 13.5% 28.6% 20.1% 14% ± 5% GPO 5.5% 5.1% 4.1% 5% ± 3% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 2.3% 1% ± 1% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 0% ± 1%