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Ontario

Kiiwetinoong


MPP : Sol Mamakwa (NDP)
Latest projection: June 27, 2025
Likely NDP

Recent electoral history | Kiiwetinoong


2014 2018 2022 Proj. NDP 65.5% 50.1% 55.8% 60% ± 19% PCPO 12.0% 27.0% 31.3% 27% ± 17% OLP 18.7% 15.2% 6.0% 7% ± 9% GPO 3.7% 6.3% 3.4% 3% ± 6%

Kiiwetinoong 60% ± 19% NDP 27% ± 17% PCPO 7% ± 9% OLP NDP 2022 55.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 27, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Kiiwetinoong >99% NDP <1% PCPO <1% OLP Odds of winning | June 27, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Kiiwetinoong

OLP 7% ± 9% PCPO 27% ± 17% NDP 60% ± 19% Popular vote projection % | Kiiwetinoong 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 2025-11-01 2025-12-01 Election 2025 OLP PCPO NDP June 27, 2025 2025-01-27 NDP 50% PCPO 35% OLP 7% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NDP 49% PCPO 36% OLP 7% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 NDP 49% PCPO 38% OLP 7% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 NDP 49% PCPO 38% OLP 7% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 NDP 49% PCPO 37% OLP 8% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 NDP 48% PCPO 38% OLP 8% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 NDP 48% PCPO 38% OLP 8% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 NDP 47% PCPO 39% OLP 8% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 NDP 47% PCPO 39% OLP 8% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 NDP 47% PCPO 38% OLP 8% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 NDP 48% PCPO 38% OLP 7% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 NDP 47% PCPO 38% OLP 8% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 NDP 47% PCPO 39% OLP 8% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 NDP 46% PCPO 39% OLP 8% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 NDP 47% PCPO 40% OLP 8% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 NDP 47% PCPO 40% OLP 8% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 NDP 46% PCPO 40% OLP 8% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 NDP 46% PCPO 40% OLP 8% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NDP 47% PCPO 39% OLP 8% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NDP 47% PCPO 39% OLP 8% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NDP 47% PCPO 40% OLP 8% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NDP 47% PCPO 39% OLP 8% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 NDP 47% PCPO 39% OLP 8% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NDP 47% PCPO 39% OLP 8% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NDP 47% PCPO 39% OLP 8% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NDP 47% PCPO 39% OLP 8% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NDP 47% PCPO 39% OLP 8% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 NDP 47% PCPO 40% OLP 8% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 NDP 47% PCPO 40% OLP 8% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NDP 61% PCPO 27% OLP 7% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NDP 60% PCPO 27% OLP 7% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NDP 60% PCPO 27% OLP 7% 2025-06-27

Odds of winning | Kiiwetinoong

OLP <1% PCPO <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 2025-11-01 2025-12-01 Election 2025 OLP PCPO NDP June 27, 2025 2025-01-27 NDP 94% PCPO 6% OLP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NDP 94% PCPO 6% OLP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 NDP 89% PCPO 11% OLP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 NDP 88% PCPO 12% OLP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 NDP 90% PCPO 10% OLP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 NDP 85% PCPO 15% OLP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 NDP 85% PCPO 15% OLP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 NDP 82% PCPO 18% OLP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 NDP 83% PCPO 17% OLP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 NDP 85% PCPO 15% OLP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 NDP 87% PCPO 13% OLP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 NDP 84% PCPO 16% OLP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 NDP 81% PCPO 19% OLP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 NDP 76% PCPO 24% OLP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 NDP 76% PCPO 24% OLP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 NDP 76% PCPO 24% OLP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 NDP 74% PCPO 26% OLP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 NDP 74% PCPO 26% OLP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NDP 82% PCPO 18% OLP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NDP 80% PCPO 20% OLP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NDP 76% PCPO 24% OLP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NDP 80% PCPO 20% OLP <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 NDP 81% PCPO 19% OLP <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NDP 82% PCPO 18% OLP <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NDP 82% PCPO 18% OLP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NDP 82% PCPO 18% OLP <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NDP 82% PCPO 18% OLP <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 NDP 77% PCPO 23% OLP <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 NDP 76% PCPO 24% OLP <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NDP >99% PCPO <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NDP >99% PCPO <1% OLP <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NDP >99% PCPO <1% OLP <1% 2025-06-27