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Recent electoral history | Kiiwetinoong


2018 2022 2025 Projection NDP 62% ± 19% 50.1% 55.8% 61.0% PC 26% ± 17% 27.0% 31.3% 26.6% OLP 7% ± 9% 15.2% 6.0% 7.4% GPO 2% ± 5% 6.3% 3.4% 2.6%

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338Canada Kiiwetinoong projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Kiiwetinoong 44% 81% 62% ± 19% NDP 10% 43% 26% ± 17% PC -2% 16% 7% ± 9% OLP NDP 2022 60.97% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Kiiwetinoong >99%▲ NDP <1%▼ PC <1% OLP Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Kiiwetinoong

OLP 7% ± 9% PC 26% ± 17% NDP 62% ± 19% Popular vote projection % | Kiiwetinoong 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 OLP PC NDP December 20, 2025 2025-01-27 NDP 50% PC 35% OLP 7% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NDP 49% PC 36% OLP 7% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 NDP 49% PC 38% OLP 7% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 NDP 49% PC 38% OLP 7% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 NDP 49% PC 37% OLP 8% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 NDP 48% PC 38% OLP 8% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 NDP 48% PC 38% OLP 8% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 NDP 47% PC 39% OLP 8% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 NDP 47% PC 39% OLP 8% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 NDP 47% PC 38% OLP 8% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 NDP 48% PC 38% OLP 7% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 NDP 47% PC 38% OLP 8% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 NDP 47% PC 39% OLP 8% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 NDP 46% PC 39% OLP 8% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 NDP 47% PC 40% OLP 8% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 NDP 47% PC 40% OLP 8% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 NDP 46% PC 40% OLP 8% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 NDP 46% PC 40% OLP 8% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NDP 47% PC 39% OLP 8% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NDP 47% PC 39% OLP 8% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NDP 47% PC 40% OLP 8% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NDP 47% PC 39% OLP 8% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 NDP 47% PC 39% OLP 8% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NDP 47% PC 39% OLP 8% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NDP 47% PC 39% OLP 8% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NDP 47% PC 39% OLP 8% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NDP 47% PC 39% OLP 8% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 NDP 47% PC 40% OLP 8% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 NDP 47% PC 40% OLP 8% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NDP 61% PC 27% OLP 7% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NDP 60% PC 27% OLP 7% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NDP 60% PC 27% OLP 7% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NDP 60% PC 28% OLP 7% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 NDP 55% PC 32% OLP 8% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 NDP 57% PC 31% OLP 7% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NDP 60% PC 29% OLP 7% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NDP 62% PC 26% OLP 7% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Kiiwetinoong

OLP <1% PC <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 OLP PC NDP December 20, 2025 2025-01-27 NDP 94% PC 6% OLP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NDP 94% PC 6% OLP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 NDP 89% PC 11% OLP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 NDP 88% PC 12% OLP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 NDP 90% PC 10% OLP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 NDP 85% PC 15% OLP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 NDP 85% PC 15% OLP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 NDP 82% PC 18% OLP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 NDP 83% PC 17% OLP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 NDP 85% PC 15% OLP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 NDP 87% PC 13% OLP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 NDP 84% PC 16% OLP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 NDP 81% PC 19% OLP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 NDP 76% PC 24% OLP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 NDP 76% PC 24% OLP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 NDP 76% PC 24% OLP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 NDP 74% PC 26% OLP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 NDP 74% PC 26% OLP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NDP 82% PC 18% OLP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NDP 80% PC 20% OLP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NDP 76% PC 24% OLP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NDP 80% PC 20% OLP <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 NDP 81% PC 19% OLP <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NDP 82% PC 18% OLP <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NDP 82% PC 18% OLP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NDP 82% PC 18% OLP <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NDP 82% PC 18% OLP <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 NDP 77% PC 23% OLP <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 NDP 76% PC 24% OLP <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NDP >99% PC <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NDP >99% PC <1% OLP <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NDP >99% PC <1% OLP <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NDP 99% PC 1% OLP <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 NDP 97% PC 3% OLP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 NDP 98% PC 2% OLP <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NDP 99% PC 1% OLP <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NDP >99% PC <1% OLP <1% 2025-12-20