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Ontario

Kiiwetinoong


MPP: Mamakwa, Sol (NDP)
Latest projection: February 20, 2025
Leaning NDP

Candidates | Kiiwetinoong


PC Party of Ontario Waylon Scott
Liberal Party Manuela Michelizzi
Ontario NDP Sol Mamakwa
Green Party Carolyn Spicer
Northern Ontario Party Theresa Leppich

Candidates listed here are on the Elections Ontario website.

Kiiwetinoong 47% ± 13% NDP 39% ± 13%▼ PCPO 8% ± 7% OLP 5% ± 5% GPO NDP 2022 55.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 20, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Kiiwetinoong 80%▲ NDP 20%▼ PCPO <1% OLP Odds of winning | February 20, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Kiiwetinoong

OLP 8% ± 7% PCPO 39% ± 13% NDP 47% ± 13% GPO 5% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Kiiwetinoong 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP GPO February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 NDP 50% PCPO 35% OLP 7% GPO 5% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NDP 49% PCPO 36% OLP 7% GPO 5% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 NDP 49% PCPO 38% OLP 7% GPO 5% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 NDP 49% PCPO 38% OLP 7% GPO 5% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 NDP 49% PCPO 37% OLP 8% GPO 5% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 NDP 48% PCPO 38% OLP 8% GPO 5% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 NDP 48% PCPO 38% OLP 8% GPO 5% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 NDP 47% PCPO 39% OLP 8% GPO 5% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 NDP 47% PCPO 39% OLP 8% GPO 5% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 NDP 47% PCPO 38% OLP 8% GPO 5% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 NDP 48% PCPO 38% OLP 7% GPO 5% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 NDP 47% PCPO 38% OLP 8% GPO 5% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 NDP 47% PCPO 39% OLP 8% GPO 5% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 NDP 46% PCPO 39% OLP 8% GPO 5% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 NDP 47% PCPO 40% OLP 8% GPO 5% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 NDP 47% PCPO 40% OLP 8% GPO 5% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 NDP 46% PCPO 40% OLP 8% GPO 5% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 NDP 46% PCPO 40% OLP 8% GPO 5% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NDP 47% PCPO 39% OLP 8% GPO 5% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NDP 47% PCPO 39% OLP 8% GPO 5% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NDP 47% PCPO 40% OLP 8% GPO 5% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NDP 47% PCPO 39% OLP 8% GPO 5% 2025-02-20

Odds of winning | Kiiwetinoong

OLP <1% PCPO 20% NDP 80% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 NDP 94% PCPO 6% OLP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NDP 94% PCPO 6% OLP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 NDP 89% PCPO 11% OLP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 NDP 88% PCPO 12% OLP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 NDP 90% PCPO 10% OLP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 NDP 85% PCPO 15% OLP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 NDP 85% PCPO 15% OLP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 NDP 82% PCPO 18% OLP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 NDP 83% PCPO 17% OLP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 NDP 85% PCPO 15% OLP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 NDP 87% PCPO 13% OLP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 NDP 84% PCPO 16% OLP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 NDP 81% PCPO 19% OLP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 NDP 76% PCPO 24% OLP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 NDP 76% PCPO 24% OLP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 NDP 76% PCPO 24% OLP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 NDP 74% PCPO 26% OLP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 NDP 74% PCPO 26% OLP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NDP 82% PCPO 18% OLP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NDP 80% PCPO 20% OLP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NDP 76% PCPO 24% OLP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NDP 80% PCPO 20% OLP <1% 2025-02-20

Recent electoral history | Kiiwetinoong



2014 2018 2022 Proj. NDP 65.5% 50.1% 55.8% 47% ± 13% PCPO 12.0% 27.0% 31.3% 39% ± 13% OLP 18.7% 15.2% 6.0% 8% ± 7% GPO 3.7% 6.3% 3.4% 5% ± 5%