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Ontario

Brampton East


MPP: Grewal, Hardeep (PCPO)
Latest projection: February 20, 2025
Safe PCPO

Candidates | Brampton East


PC Party of Ontario Hardeep Grewal
Liberal Party Vicky Dhillon
Ontario NDP Martin Singh
Green Party Nancy Porteous
Independent Azad Goyat

Candidates listed here are on the Elections Ontario website.

Brampton East 47% ± 9% PCPO 26% ± 7% OLP 24% ± 7% NDP PCPO 2022 43.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 20, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brampton East >99% PCPO <1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 20, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Brampton East

OLP 26% ± 7% PCPO 47% ± 9% NDP 24% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Brampton East 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 44% NDP 29% OLP 23% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 45% NDP 29% OLP 23% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 46% NDP 28% OLP 22% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 47% NDP 28% OLP 22% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 46% NDP 28% OLP 23% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 47% NDP 26% OLP 23% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 47% NDP 26% OLP 23% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 48% NDP 26% OLP 23% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 48% NDP 26% OLP 23% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 45% NDP 27% OLP 25% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 45% NDP 27% OLP 24% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 46% NDP 27% OLP 24% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 46% NDP 26% OLP 25% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 46% OLP 25% NDP 25% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 46% OLP 25% NDP 25% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 47% OLP 26% NDP 24% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 47% OLP 26% NDP 24% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 47% OLP 26% NDP 24% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 46% OLP 26% NDP 24% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 46% OLP 26% NDP 24% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 47% OLP 26% NDP 24% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 47% OLP 26% NDP 24% 2025-02-20

Odds of winning | Brampton East

OLP <1% PCPO >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 99% NDP 1% OLP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-20

Recent electoral history | Brampton East



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 13.9% 33.6% 43.3% 47% ± 9% NDP 53.1% 46.9% 30.8% 24% ± 7% OLP 30.9% 16.6% 21.2% 26% ± 7% GPO 2.0% 1.3% 1.9% 2% ± 2%