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Ontario

Mississauga East—Cooksville


MPP: Rasheed, Kaleed (IND)

Latest projection: November 12, 2024
Toss up OLP/PCPO
Mississauga East—Cooksville 41% ± 9%▲ PCPO 39% ± 9% OLP 10% ± 4% NDP 5% ± 3% GPO 3% ± 3%▼ NBPO PCPO 2022 41.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 12, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Mississauga East—Cooksville 63%▲ PCPO 37%▼ OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | November 12, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Mississauga East—Cooksville

OLP 39% ± 9% PCPO 41% ± 9% NDP 10% ± 4% GPO 5% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Mississauga East—Cooksville 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO November 12, 2024 2022-04-30 PCPO 40% OLP 40% NDP 12% GPO 3% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 OLP 39% PCPO 38% NDP 15% GPO 3% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PCPO 38% OLP 38% NDP 15% GPO 3% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PCPO 39% OLP 38% NDP 15% GPO 3% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PCPO 39% OLP 38% NDP 15% GPO 3% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PCPO 39% OLP 38% NDP 15% GPO 3% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 OLP 39% PCPO 38% NDP 15% GPO 3% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 OLP 40% PCPO 38% NDP 15% GPO 3% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 OLP 40% PCPO 38% NDP 15% GPO 3% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PCPO 39% OLP 39% NDP 15% GPO 3% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PCPO 39% OLP 39% NDP 15% GPO 3% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PCPO 39% OLP 39% NDP 14% GPO 3% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PCPO 39% OLP 38% NDP 14% GPO 3% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PCPO 39% OLP 37% NDP 15% GPO 3% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PCPO 38% OLP 38% NDP 16% GPO 3% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PCPO 39% OLP 38% NDP 15% GPO 3% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PCPO 39% OLP 38% NDP 15% GPO 3% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PCPO 39% OLP 37% NDP 15% GPO 4% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 OLP 37% PCPO 37% NDP 16% GPO 4% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 OLP 37% PCPO 37% NDP 16% GPO 4% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 OLP 37% PCPO 37% NDP 16% GPO 4% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PCPO 38% OLP 37% NDP 16% GPO 4% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PCPO 38% OLP 37% NDP 16% GPO 4% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PCPO 37% OLP 37% NDP 15% GPO 4% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PCPO 37% OLP 37% NDP 15% GPO 4% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PCPO 37% OLP 37% NDP 16% GPO 4% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PCPO 38% OLP 36% NDP 15% GPO 4% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PCPO 38% OLP 36% NDP 15% GPO 4% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 OLP 38% PCPO 38% NDP 13% GPO 4% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PCPO 38% OLP 38% NDP 13% GPO 4% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PCPO 40% OLP 36% NDP 13% GPO 4% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PCPO 41% OLP 37% NDP 11% GPO 4% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PCPO 41% OLP 37% NDP 11% GPO 4% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PCPO 40% OLP 38% NDP 10% GPO 5% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PCPO 40% OLP 39% NDP 10% GPO 4% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PCPO 40% OLP 39% NDP 10% GPO 4% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PCPO 40% OLP 38% NDP 10% GPO 4% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 OLP 38% PCPO 37% NDP 12% GPO 6% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 OLP 39% PCPO 37% NDP 11% GPO 6% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 OLP 38% PCPO 38% NDP 11% GPO 5% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 OLP 38% PCPO 38% NDP 11% GPO 5% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 OLP 40% PCPO 36% NDP 12% GPO 6% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 OLP 38% PCPO 38% NDP 11% GPO 5% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PCPO 41% OLP 37% NDP 11% GPO 5% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 OLP 43% PCPO 36% NDP 11% GPO 5% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 OLP 43% PCPO 36% NDP 11% GPO 5% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 OLP 45% PCPO 34% NDP 11% GPO 5% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 OLP 43% PCPO 37% NDP 10% GPO 5% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 OLP 41% PCPO 38% NDP 10% GPO 5% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 OLP 40% PCPO 39% NDP 10% GPO 5% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PCPO 40% OLP 39% NDP 10% GPO 5% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PCPO 42% OLP 38% NDP 10% GPO 5% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 PCPO 40% OLP 39% NDP 10% GPO 5% 2024-10-09 2024-11-11 PCPO 41% OLP 39% NDP 10% GPO 5% 2024-11-11

Odds of winning | Mississauga East—Cooksville

OLP 37% PCPO 63% NDP <1% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO November 12, 2024 2022-04-30 PCPO 50% OLP 50% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 OLP 55% PCPO 45% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PCPO 50% OLP 50% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PCPO 56% OLP 44% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PCPO 53% OLP 47% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PCPO 51% OLP 49% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 OLP 55% PCPO 45% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 OLP 59% PCPO 41% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 OLP 64% PCPO 36% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PCPO 53% OLP 47% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PCPO 54% OLP 46% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PCPO 56% OLP 44% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PCPO 56% OLP 44% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PCPO 63% OLP 37% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PCPO 51% OLP 49% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PCPO 52% OLP 48% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PCPO 55% OLP 45% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PCPO 58% OLP 42% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 OLP 51% PCPO 49% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 OLP 50% PCPO 50% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 OLP 53% PCPO 47% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PCPO 52% OLP 48% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PCPO 51% OLP 49% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PCPO 52% OLP 48% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PCPO 53% OLP 47% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PCPO 55% OLP 45% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PCPO 62% OLP 38% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PCPO 62% OLP 38% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 OLP 53% PCPO 47% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PCPO 52% OLP 48% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PCPO 76% OLP 24% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PCPO 84% OLP 16% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PCPO 70% OLP 30% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PCPO 63% OLP 37% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PCPO 56% OLP 44% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PCPO 57% OLP 43% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PCPO 64% OLP 36% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 OLP 62% PCPO 38% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 OLP 62% PCPO 38% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 OLP 54% PCPO 46% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 OLP 52% PCPO 48% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 OLP 79% PCPO 21% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 OLP 53% PCPO 47% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PCPO 72% OLP 28% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 OLP 88% PCPO 12% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 OLP 91% PCPO 9% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 OLP 98% PCPO 2% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 OLP 82% PCPO 18% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 OLP 69% PCPO 31% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 OLP 60% PCPO 40% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PCPO 59% OLP 41% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PCPO 71% OLP 29% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 PCPO 58% OLP 42% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-09 2024-11-11 PCPO 63% OLP 37% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-11

Recent electoral history | Mississauga East—Cooksville



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 27.9% 41.2% 41.0% 41% ± 9% OLP 50.2% 30.2% 37.3% 39% ± 9% NDP 14.9% 22.7% 10.8% 10% ± 4% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 4.7% 3% ± 3% GPO 3.6% 3.5% 4.0% 5% ± 3% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 1.8% 1% ± 1%