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Ontario

Scarborough North


MPP: Cho, Raymond (PCPO)
Latest projection: February 20, 2025
Safe PCPO

Candidates | Scarborough North


PC Party of Ontario Raymond Cho
Liberal Party Anita Anandarajan
Ontario NDP Thadsha Navaneethan
Green Party Zdravko Gunjevic

Candidates listed here are on the Elections Ontario website.

Scarborough North 55% ± 9%▲ PCPO 31% ± 9% OLP 12% ± 5% NDP PCPO 2022 48.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 20, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Scarborough North >99% PCPO <1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 20, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Scarborough North

OLP 31% ± 9% PCPO 55% ± 9% NDP 12% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Scarborough North 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 51% OLP 30% NDP 16% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 51% OLP 30% NDP 15% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 53% OLP 29% NDP 15% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 53% OLP 29% NDP 15% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 53% OLP 29% NDP 15% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 53% OLP 30% NDP 14% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 53% OLP 30% NDP 14% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 54% OLP 29% NDP 14% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 54% OLP 30% NDP 14% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 54% OLP 30% NDP 14% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 54% OLP 29% NDP 14% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 54% OLP 29% NDP 14% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 54% OLP 30% NDP 13% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 54% OLP 30% NDP 13% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 56% OLP 31% NDP 13% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 54% OLP 31% NDP 12% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 55% OLP 31% NDP 12% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 55% OLP 31% NDP 12% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 54% OLP 31% NDP 13% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 54% OLP 31% NDP 13% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 54% OLP 31% NDP 12% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 55% OLP 31% NDP 12% 2025-02-20

Odds of winning | Scarborough North

OLP <1% PCPO >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-20

Recent electoral history | Scarborough North



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 31.2% 50.2% 48.5% 55% ± 9% OLP 40.1% 22.4% 29.7% 31% ± 9% NDP 26.1% 24.8% 18.2% 12% ± 5% GPO 1.6% 1.6% 1.8% 2% ± 2%