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Recent electoral history | Scarborough North


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 55% ± 11% 50.2% 48.5% 53.0% OLP 33% ± 10% 22.4% 29.7% 34.7% NDP 10% ± 6% 24.8% 18.2% 10.4% GPO 2% ± 2% 1.6% 1.8% 1.9%

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338Canada Scarborough North projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Scarborough North 44% 66% 55% ± 11% PC 23% 44% 33% ± 10% OLP 4% 16% 10% ± 6% NDP PC 2025 52.99% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Scarborough North >99% PC <1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Scarborough North

Odds of winning | Scarborough North