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Toronto
GTA-905
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Scarborough—Rouge Park
MPP: Thanigasalam, Vijay (PC)
Latest projection: March 17, 2023
Likely PCPO
Scarborough—Rouge Park
45% ± 9%
PCPO
29% ± 8%
OLP
20% ± 7%
NDP
3% ± 2%
GPO
2% ± 2%
ONP
PCPO 2022
45.5%
338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2023
50%
100%
Scarborough—Rouge Park
>99%
PCPO
<1%
OLP
<1%
NDP
Odds of winning | March 17, 2023
Popular vote projection | Scarborough—Rouge Park
OLP 29% ± 8%
PCPO 45% ± 9%
NDP 20% ± 7%
Popular vote projection % | Scarborough—Rouge Park
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
Election 2022
OLP
PCPO
NDP
Odds of winning | Scarborough—Rouge Park
OLP <1%
PCPO >99%
NDP <1%
GPO <1%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
Election 2022
OLP
PCPO
NDP
GPO
Recent electoral history | Scarborough—Rouge Park
2014
2018
2022
Proj.
PCPO
24.6%
38.6%
45.5%
45% ± 9%
OLP
48.0%
20.9%
27.5%
29% ± 8%
NDP
23.9%
36.3%
21.9%
20% ± 7%
GPO
2.3%
2.4%
2.4%
3% ± 2%
ONP
0.0%
0.0%
1.5%
2% ± 2%
NBPO
0.0%
0.0%
0.8%
1% ± 1%