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Recent electoral history | Scarborough—Rouge Park


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 47% ± 10% 38.6% 45.5% 49.2% OLP 45% ± 10% 20.9% 27.5% 40.2% NDP 5% ± 3% 36.3% 21.9% 7.1% GPO 2% ± 2% 2.4% 2.4% 2.2%

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338Canada Scarborough—Rouge Park projection

Latest update: April 29, 2026

Scarborough—Rouge Park 37% 57% 47% ± 10% PC 34% 55% 45% ± 10% OLP 2% 8% 5% ± 3% NDP PC 2025 49.17% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Scarborough—Rouge Park 64%▼ PC 36%▲ OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Scarborough—Rouge Park

Odds of winning | Scarborough—Rouge Park