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Ontario


Scarborough—Rouge Park


MPP: Thanigasalam, Vijay (PC)


Latest projection: March 17, 2023

Likely PCPO
Scarborough—Rouge Park 45% ± 9% PCPO 29% ± 8% OLP 20% ± 7% NDP 3% ± 2% GPO 2% ± 2% ONP PCPO 2022 45.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2023
50% 100% Scarborough—Rouge Park >99% PCPO <1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 17, 2023


Popular vote projection | Scarborough—Rouge Park

OLP 29% ± 8% PCPO 45% ± 9% NDP 20% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Scarborough—Rouge Park 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP

Odds of winning | Scarborough—Rouge Park

OLP <1% PCPO >99% NDP <1% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Scarborough—Rouge Park



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 24.6% 38.6% 45.5% 45% ± 9% OLP 48.0% 20.9% 27.5% 29% ± 8% NDP 23.9% 36.3% 21.9% 20% ± 7% GPO 2.3% 2.4% 2.4% 3% ± 2% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 1.5% 2% ± 2% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 1% ± 1%