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Recent electoral history | Scarborough—Agincourt


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 49% ± 11% 50.4% 49.1% 49.2% OLP 43% ± 11% 28.3% 37.3% 41.8% NDP 4% ± 3% 17.4% 8.7% 5.0% GPO 2% ± 2% 1.7% 2.2% 2.0% NBPO 1% ± 2% 0.0% 1.0% 1.2% ONP 1% ± 1% 0.0% 1.7% 0.7%

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338Canada Scarborough—Agincourt projection

Latest update: April 20, 2026

Scarborough—Agincourt 38% 60% 49% ± 11% PC 32% 54% 43% ± 11% OLP 1% 7% 4% ± 3% NDP PC 2025 49.23% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Scarborough—Agincourt 78%▼ PC 22%▲ OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Scarborough—Agincourt

Odds of winning | Scarborough—Agincourt