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Recent electoral history | Guelph


2018 2022 2025 Projection GPO 56% ± 10% 45.0% 54.5% 56.9% PC 25% ± 8% 21.8% 20.4% 23.9% OLP 12% ± 5% 10.1% 13.3% 11.4% NDP 5% ± 3% 21.6% 8.1% 5.8% NBPO 2% ± 2% 0.0% 3.0% 1.9%

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338Canada Guelph projection

Latest update: April 20, 2026

Guelph 46% 67% 56% ± 10% GPO 17% 32% 25% ± 8% PC 7% 17% 12% ± 5% OLP 2% 7% 5% ± 3% NDP GPO 2025 56.94% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Guelph >99% GPO <1% PC <1% OLP Odds of winning | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Guelph

Odds of winning | Guelph