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GTA-905
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Spadina—Fort York
MPP: Glover, Chris (NDP)
Latest projection: March 17, 2023
Likely NDP
Spadina—Fort York
43% ± 9%
NDP
30% ± 8%
OLP
18% ± 6%
PCPO
6% ± 4%
GPO
2% ± 2%
NBPO
NDP 2022
46.1%
338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2023
50%
100%
Spadina—Fort York
99%
NDP
1%
OLP
<1%
PCPO
Odds of winning | March 17, 2023
Popular vote projection | Spadina—Fort York
OLP 30% ± 8%
PCPO 18% ± 6%
NDP 43% ± 9%
GPO 6% ± 4%
Popular vote projection % | Spadina—Fort York
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
Election 2022
OLP
PCPO
NDP
GPO
Odds of winning | Spadina—Fort York
OLP 1%
PCPO <1%
NDP 99%
GPO <1%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
Election 2022
OLP
PCPO
NDP
GPO
Recent electoral history | Spadina—Fort York
2014
2018
2022
Proj.
NDP
26.7%
49.7%
46.1%
43% ± 9%
OLP
48.3%
23.7%
28.0%
30% ± 8%
PCPO
17.5%
21.7%
18.3%
18% ± 6%
GPO
5.4%
3.7%
5.6%
6% ± 4%
NBPO
0.0%
0.0%
1.7%
2% ± 2%
ONP
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0% ± 0%