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Ontario

Parkdale—High Park


MPP elect: Alexa Gilmour (NDP)
Latest projection: February 28, 2025
Safe NDP

Candidates | Parkdale—High Park


PC Party of Ontario Justine Teplycky
Liberal Party Nadia Guerrera
Ontario NDP Alexa Gilmour
Green Party Anna Gorka
New Blue Party Geoffrey Corfield
Communist Parti Rimmy Riarh

Candidates listed here are on the Elections Ontario website.

Parkdale—High Park 45% ± 0% NDP 31% ± 0%▲ OLP 18% ± 0%▼ PCPO 4% ± 0%▼ GPO NDP 2022 54.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 28, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Parkdale—High Park >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% PCPO Odds of winning | February 28, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Parkdale—High Park

OLP 31% ± 0% PCPO 18% ± 0% NDP 45% ± 0% GPO 4% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Parkdale—High Park 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP GPO February 28, 2025 2025-01-27 NDP 48% OLP 25% PCPO 17% GPO 8% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NDP 48% OLP 25% PCPO 17% GPO 8% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 NDP 48% OLP 24% PCPO 19% GPO 7% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 NDP 48% OLP 24% PCPO 19% GPO 7% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 NDP 48% OLP 25% PCPO 19% GPO 7% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 NDP 47% OLP 25% PCPO 19% GPO 7% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 NDP 47% OLP 25% PCPO 19% GPO 7% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 NDP 46% OLP 25% PCPO 20% GPO 7% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 NDP 47% OLP 25% PCPO 19% GPO 7% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 NDP 47% OLP 25% PCPO 19% GPO 7% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 NDP 48% OLP 24% PCPO 19% GPO 7% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 NDP 47% OLP 25% PCPO 19% GPO 7% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 NDP 46% OLP 25% PCPO 20% GPO 8% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 NDP 45% OLP 26% PCPO 20% GPO 8% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 NDP 45% OLP 26% PCPO 20% GPO 8% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 NDP 45% OLP 26% PCPO 20% GPO 8% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 NDP 45% OLP 26% PCPO 20% GPO 8% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 NDP 45% OLP 26% PCPO 20% GPO 8% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NDP 45% OLP 27% PCPO 19% GPO 8% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NDP 45% OLP 27% PCPO 19% GPO 8% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NDP 45% OLP 26% PCPO 20% GPO 8% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NDP 45% OLP 26% PCPO 20% GPO 8% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 NDP 45% OLP 26% PCPO 20% GPO 8% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NDP 45% OLP 26% PCPO 20% GPO 8% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NDP 45% OLP 26% PCPO 20% GPO 8% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NDP 45% OLP 26% PCPO 20% GPO 8% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NDP 45% OLP 26% PCPO 20% GPO 8% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 NDP 45% OLP 26% PCPO 20% GPO 8% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 NDP 45% OLP 27% PCPO 20% GPO 7% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NDP 45% OLP 31% PCPO 18% GPO 4% 2025-02-28

Odds of winning | Parkdale—High Park

OLP <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP NDP February 28, 2025 2025-01-27 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NDP >99% OLP <1% 2025-02-28

Recent electoral history | Parkdale—High Park



2014 2018 2022 Proj. NDP 40.8% 59.4% 54.0% 45% ± 0% OLP 39.6% 17.0% 22.4% 31% ± 0% PCPO 12.8% 18.0% 14.7% 18% ± 0% GPO 5.5% 4.7% 6.1% 4% ± 0% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 1.3% 1% ± 0%