logo
Ontario

Recent electoral history | Thunder Bay—Atikokan


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 40% ± 10% 23.2% 36.3% 45.7% OLP 30% ± 9% 36.0% 24.4% 24.6% NDP 26% ± 9% 36.3% 32.9% 25.9% NBPO 2% ± 2% 0.0% 2.0% 1.7% GPO 1% ± 2% 2.7% 2.9% 1.5%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


Ontario flag

338Canada Thunder Bay—Atikokan projection

Latest update: June 28, 2026

Thunder Bay—Atikokan 30% 50% 40% ± 10% PC 21% 39% 30% ± 9% OLP 17% 35% 26% ± 9% NDP PC 2025 45.71% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 28, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Thunder Bay—Atikokan 95%▲ PC 5% OLP 1% NDP Odds of winning | June 28, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Thunder Bay—Atikokan

Odds of winning | Thunder Bay—Atikokan