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Recent electoral history | Thunder Bay—Atikokan


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 41% ± 10% 23.2% 36.3% 45.7% OLP 30% ± 9% 36.0% 24.4% 24.6% NDP 25% ± 9% 36.3% 32.9% 25.9% NBPO 2% ± 2% 0.0% 2.0% 1.7% GPO 1% ± 2% 2.7% 2.9% 1.5%

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338Canada Thunder Bay—Atikokan projection

Latest update: April 29, 2026

Thunder Bay—Atikokan 31% 51% 41% ± 10% PC 21% 39% 30% ± 9% OLP 17% 34% 25% ± 9% NDP PC 2025 45.71% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Thunder Bay—Atikokan 96%▼ PC 3%▲ OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Thunder Bay—Atikokan

Odds of winning | Thunder Bay—Atikokan