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Recent electoral history | Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 44% ± 10% 44.8% 42.5% 49.8% OLP 42% ± 10% 13.6% 40.8% 35.7% NDP 6% ± 4% 28.2% 7.8% 6.7% GPO 4% ± 3% 11.7% 4.4% 4.0% NBPO 2% ± 2% 0.0% 2.9% 2.2%

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338Canada Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte projection

Latest update: April 29, 2026

Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte 35% 54% 44% ± 10% PC 32% 51% 42% ± 10% OLP 3% 10% 6% ± 4% NDP 1% 7% 4% ± 3% GPO PC 2025 49.85% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte 64%▼ PC 36%▲ OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte

Odds of winning | Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte