logo
Ontario

Recent electoral history | Haldimand—Norfolk


2018 2022 2025 Projection IND 63% ± 14% 0.0% 35.0% 63.6% PC 22% ± 10% 57.1% 30.5% 24.5% OLP 8% ± 4% 9.2% 7.3% 5.5% NDP 4% ± 3% 26.9% 13.9% 4.1% GPO 2% ± 2% 4.1% 4.1% 1.6% NBPO 1% ± 1% 0.0% 3.2% 0.7%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


Ontario flag

338Canada Haldimand—Norfolk projection

Latest update: May 24, 2026

Haldimand—Norfolk 49% 77% 63% ± 14% IND 13% 32% 22% ± 10% PC 4% 12% 8% ± 4% OLP 1% 7% 4% ± 3% NDP IND 2025 63.65% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 24, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Haldimand—Norfolk >99% IND <1% PC <1% OLP Odds of winning | May 24, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Haldimand—Norfolk

Odds of winning | Haldimand—Norfolk