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Ontario


Durham


MPP: Mccarthy, Todd (PC)


Latest projection: March 17, 2023

Safe PCPO
Durham 45% ± 9% PCPO 26% ± 7% OLP 17% ± 6% NDP 4% ± 3% GPO 4% ± 3% NBPO 1% ± 2% ONP PCPO 2022 45.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2023
50% 100% Durham >99% PCPO <1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 17, 2023


Popular vote projection | Durham

OLP 26% ± 7% PCPO 45% ± 9% NDP 17% ± 6% GPO 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Durham 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Odds of winning | Durham

OLP <1% PCPO >99% NDP <1% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Durham



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 32.6% 47.0% 45.8% 45% ± 9% OLP 34.2% 16.8% 24.9% 26% ± 7% NDP 28.4% 31.7% 18.6% 17% ± 6% GPO 3.9% 3.9% 4.0% 4% ± 3% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 3.8% 4% ± 3% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 1.4% 1% ± 2%