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Recent electoral history | Kenora—Rainy River


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 52% ± 12% 48.4% 59.4% 59.9% OLP 25% ± 10% 10.6% 11.4% 17.5% NDP 19% ± 9% 37.5% 19.9% 18.8% NBPO 2% ± 3% 0.0% 2.5% 1.9% GPO 2% ± 3% 3.6% 3.8% 1.9%

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338Canada Kenora—Rainy River projection

Latest update: May 24, 2026

Kenora—Rainy River 41% 64% 52% ± 12% PC 15% 34% 25% ± 10% OLP 10% 28% 19% ± 9% NDP PC 2025 59.93% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 24, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Kenora—Rainy River >99% PC <1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 24, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Kenora—Rainy River

Odds of winning | Kenora—Rainy River