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Ontario

Kenora—Rainy River


MPP: Rickford, Greg (PCPO)
Latest projection: February 20, 2025
Safe PCPO

Candidates | Kenora—Rainy River


PC Party of Ontario Greg Rickford
Liberal Party Anthony Leek
Ontario NDP Rudy Turtle
Green Party John Redins
New Blue Party Randy Ricci

Candidates listed here are on the Elections Ontario website.

Kenora—Rainy River 66% ± 10% PCPO 15% ± 8% OLP 13% ± 7% NDP 5% ± 4% GPO PCPO 2022 59.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 20, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Kenora—Rainy River >99% PCPO <1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 20, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Kenora—Rainy River

OLP 15% ± 8% PCPO 66% ± 10% NDP 13% ± 7% GPO 5% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Kenora—Rainy River 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP GPO February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 60% NDP 16% OLP 14% GPO 5% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 61% NDP 16% OLP 14% GPO 5% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 64% NDP 16% OLP 14% GPO 5% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 64% NDP 15% OLP 14% GPO 5% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 63% NDP 16% OLP 14% GPO 4% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 64% OLP 15% NDP 14% GPO 5% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 64% OLP 15% NDP 14% GPO 5% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 65% OLP 14% NDP 14% GPO 4% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 64% NDP 14% OLP 14% GPO 4% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 64% OLP 14% NDP 14% GPO 5% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 64% NDP 15% OLP 14% GPO 5% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 64% NDP 14% OLP 14% GPO 5% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 65% OLP 15% NDP 14% GPO 5% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 65% OLP 15% NDP 13% GPO 5% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 66% OLP 15% NDP 13% GPO 5% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 66% OLP 15% NDP 13% GPO 5% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 67% OLP 15% NDP 13% GPO 5% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 67% OLP 15% NDP 13% GPO 5% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 65% OLP 16% NDP 13% GPO 5% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 66% OLP 15% NDP 13% GPO 5% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 66% OLP 15% NDP 13% GPO 5% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 66% OLP 15% NDP 13% GPO 5% 2025-02-20

Odds of winning | Kenora—Rainy River

OLP <1% PCPO >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-20

Recent electoral history | Kenora—Rainy River



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 29.5% 48.4% 59.4% 66% ± 10% NDP 52.7% 37.5% 19.9% 13% ± 7% OLP 14.9% 10.6% 11.4% 15% ± 8% GPO 2.9% 3.6% 3.8% 5% ± 4% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 2.5% 1% ± 2%