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Recent electoral history | Thornhill


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 57% ± 10% 61.1% 53.3% 64.0% OLP 35% ± 9% 14.8% 29.7% 28.3% NDP 4% ± 3% 19.3% 7.8% 3.6% GPO 2% ± 2% 2.2% 3.3% 2.2% NBPO 2% ± 2% 0.0% 2.7% 1.5%

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338Canada Thornhill projection

Latest update: May 24, 2026

Thornhill 48% 67% 57% ± 10% PC 25% 44% 35% ± 9% OLP 1% 6% 4% ± 3% NDP PC 2025 63.99% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 24, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Thornhill >99% PC <1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 24, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Thornhill

Odds of winning | Thornhill