logo
Ontario

Recent electoral history | Oakville North—Burlington


2018 2022 2025 Projection OLP 48% ± 9% 24.4% 35.3% 40.9% PC 43% ± 9% 46.4% 47.2% 49.7% NDP 5% ± 3% 24.4% 9.9% 5.4% GPO 3% ± 2% 3.7% 4.3% 2.7% NBPO 1% ± 1% 0.0% 2.3% 1.3%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


Ontario flag

338Canada Oakville North—Burlington projection

Latest update: May 24, 2026

Oakville North—Burlington 39% 57% 48% ± 9% OLP 34% 52% 43% ± 9% PC 2% 8% 5% ± 3% NDP PC 2025 49.72% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 24, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Oakville North—Burlington 80%▲ OLP 20%▼ PC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 24, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Oakville North—Burlington

Odds of winning | Oakville North—Burlington