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Recent electoral history | Oakville North—Burlington


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 51% ± 9% 46.4% 47.2% 49.7% OLP 41% ± 9% 24.4% 35.3% 40.9% NDP 4% ± 3% 24.4% 9.9% 5.4% GPO 3% ± 2% 3.7% 4.3% 2.7% NBPO 1% ± 1% 0.0% 2.3% 1.3%

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338Canada Oakville North—Burlington projection

Latest update: March 20, 2026

Oakville North—Burlington 41% 60% 51% ± 9% PC 32% 51% 41% ± 9% OLP 2% 7% 4% ± 3% NDP PC 2025 49.72% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 20, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Oakville North—Burlington 92%▼ PC 8%▲ OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 20, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Oakville North—Burlington

Odds of winning | Oakville North—Burlington