Progressive Conservative Party

Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Progressive Conservative Party

Rank	Electoral districts	Current party	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	Timmins		Safe PCPO	>99%
2.	Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke		Safe PCPO	>99%
3.	Kenora—Rainy River		Safe PCPO	>99%
4.	Lambton—Kent—Middlesex		Safe PCPO	>99%
5.	Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes		Safe PCPO	>99%
6.	King—Vaughan		Safe PCPO	>99%
7.	Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry		Safe PCPO	>99%
8.	York—Simcoe		Safe PCPO	>99%
9.	Markham—Unionville		Safe PCPO	>99%
10.	Etobicoke North		Safe PCPO	>99%
11.	Thornhill		Safe PCPO	>99%
12.	Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill		Safe PCPO	>99%
13.	Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock		Safe PCPO	>99%
14.	Sarnia—Lambton		Safe PCPO	>99%
15.	Richmond Hill		Safe PCPO	>99%
16.	Huron—Bruce		Safe PCPO	>99%
17.	Simcoe—Grey		Safe PCPO	>99%
18.	Elgin—Middlesex—London		Safe PCPO	>99%
19.	Essex		Safe PCPO	>99%
20.	Northumberland—Peterborough South		Safe PCPO	>99%
21.	Wellington—Halton Hills		Safe PCPO	>99%
22.	Barrie—Innisfil		Safe PCPO	>99%
23.	Nipissing		Safe PCPO	>99%
24.	Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston		Safe PCPO	>99%
25.	Oxford		Safe PCPO	>99%
26.	Simcoe North		Safe PCPO	>99%
27.	Dufferin—Caledon		Safe PCPO	>99%
28.	Bay of Quinte		Safe PCPO	>99%
29.	Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound		Safe PCPO	>99%
30.	Scarborough North		Safe PCPO	>99%
31.	Whitby		Safe PCPO	>99%
32.	Carleton		Safe PCPO	>99%
33.	Brampton West		Safe PCPO	>99%
34.	Chatham-Kent—Leamington		Safe PCPO	>99%
35.	Hastings—Lennox and Addington		Safe PCPO	>99%
36.	Perth—Wellington		Safe PCPO	>99%
37.	Flamborough—Glanbrook		Safe PCPO	>99%
38.	Durham		Safe PCPO	>99%
39.	Scarborough—Rouge Park		Safe PCPO	>99%
40.	Brampton South		Safe PCPO	>99%
41.	Niagara West		Safe PCPO	>99%
42.	Brantford—Brant		Safe PCPO	>99%
43.	Kanata—Carleton		Safe PCPO	>99%
44.	Vaughan—Woodbridge		Safe PCPO	>99%
45.	Cambridge		Safe PCPO	>99%
46.	Brampton North		Safe PCPO	>99%
47.	Windsor—Tecumseh		Safe PCPO	>99%
48.	Pickering—Uxbridge		Safe PCPO	>99%
49.	Brampton Centre		Safe PCPO	>99%
50.	Mississauga—Malton		Safe PCPO	>99%
51.	Etobicoke Centre		Safe PCPO	>99%
52.	Burlington		Safe PCPO	>99%
53.	Newmarket—Aurora		Safe PCPO	>99%
54.	Kitchener South—Hespeler		Safe PCPO	>99%
55.	Markham—Stouffville		Safe PCPO	>99%
56.	Brampton East		Safe PCPO	>99%
57.	York Centre		Safe PCPO	>99%
58.	Oakville North—Burlington		Safe PCPO	>99%
59.	Kitchener—Conestoga		Likely PCPO	>99%
60.	Scarborough—Agincourt		Likely PCPO	>99%
61.	Mississauga—Streetsville		Likely PCPO	>99%
62.	Don Valley North		Likely PCPO	>99%
63.	Markham—Thornhill		Likely PCPO	>99%
64.	Peterborough—Kawartha		Likely PCPO	99%
65.	Mississauga—Lakeshore		Likely PCPO	98%
66.	Hamilton East—Stoney Creek		Likely PCPO	98%
67.	Mississauga Centre		Likely PCPO	97%
68.	Sault Ste. Marie		Likely PCPO	97%
69.	Willowdale		Likely PCPO	96%
70.	Nepean		Likely PCPO	94%
71.	Scarborough Centre		Likely PCPO	94%
72.	Oakville		Likely PCPO	93%
73.	Mississauga—Erin Mills		Leaning PCPO	90%
74.	Ajax		Leaning PCPO	90%
75.	Milton		Leaning PCPO	86%
76.	Parry Sound—Muskoka		Leaning PCPO	86%
77.	Mississauga East—Cooksville		Leaning PCPO	84%
78.	Glengarry—Prescott—Russell		Leaning PCPO	81%
79.	Thunder Bay—Atikokan		Leaning PCPO	78%
80.	York South—Weston		Leaning PCPO	76%
81.	Eglinton—Lawrence		Toss up OLP/PCPO	67%
82.	Etobicoke—Lakeshore		Toss up OLP/PCPO	67%
83.	Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte		Toss up OLP/PCPO	65%
84.	Oshawa		Toss up PCPO/NDP	31%
85.	Niagara Centre		Leaning NDP	30%
86.	Ottawa West—Nepean		Leaning NDP	29%
87.	Thunder Bay—Superior North		Leaning NDP	22%
88.	Don Valley West		Leaning OLP	11%
89.	Haldimand—Norfolk		IND leaning	11%
90.	Humber River—Black Creek		Leaning NDP	9%
91.	St. Catharines		Likely NDP	8%
92.	Timiskaming—Cochrane		Likely NDP	7%
93.	Mushkegowuk—James Bay		Likely NDP	7%
94.	Windsor West		Likely NDP	3%
95.	Algoma—Manitoulin		Likely NDP	2%
96.	Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas		Likely NDP	2%