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Recent electoral history | Dufferin—Caledon


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 47% ± 9% 53.1% 49.7% 52.2% OLP 31% ± 8% 12.5% 18.8% 25.2% GPO 12% ± 5% 12.5% 14.1% 12.3% NDP 6% ± 3% 20.3% 10.8% 6.4% NBPO 2% ± 2% 0.0% 5.0% 2.2% IND 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8%

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338Canada Dufferin—Caledon projection

Latest update: April 29, 2026

Dufferin—Caledon 38% 55% 47% ± 9% PC 23% 40% 31% ± 8% OLP 7% 17% 12% ± 5% GPO 3% 9% 6% ± 3% NDP PC 2025 52.18% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Dufferin—Caledon >99% PC <1% OLP <1% GPO Odds of winning | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Dufferin—Caledon

Odds of winning | Dufferin—Caledon