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Recent electoral history | Hamilton Centre


2018 2022 2025 Projection NDP 41% ± 10% 65.3% 57.3% 38.4% OLP 22% ± 8% 10.9% 13.0% 21.3% PC 16% ± 6% 15.7% 16.5% 18.9% IND 14% ± 8% 0.0% 0.0% 14.9% GPO 5% ± 3% 5.8% 8.8% 4.9% NBPO 1% ± 2% 0.0% 1.7% 1.3%

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338Canada Hamilton Centre projection

Latest update: May 24, 2026

Hamilton Centre 31% 52% 41% ± 10% NDP 15% 30% 22% ± 8% OLP 10% 22% 16% ± 6% PC 6% 22% 14% ± 8% IND 1% 8% 5% ± 3% GPO NDP 2025 38.36% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 24, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Hamilton Centre >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% PC Odds of winning | May 24, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Hamilton Centre

Odds of winning | Hamilton Centre