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Recent electoral history | Huron—Bruce


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 52% ± 9% 52.4% 52.0% 50.0% OLP 27% ± 8% 13.9% 18.7% 28.0% NDP 11% ± 5% 29.0% 16.4% 11.8% GPO 5% ± 3% 3.4% 4.1% 5.6% NBPO 4% ± 3% 0.0% 7.2% 4.2%

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338Canada Huron—Bruce projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Huron—Bruce 43% 61% 52% ± 9% PC 19% 35% 27% ± 8% OLP 7% 16% 11% ± 5% NDP 2% 9% 5% ± 3% GPO 1% 7% 4% ± 3% NBPO PC 2025 50.01% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Huron—Bruce >99% PC <1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Huron—Bruce

Odds of winning | Huron—Bruce