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Ontario

Sudbury


MPP: West, Jamie (NDP)
Latest projection: February 20, 2025
Toss up PCPO/NDP

Candidates | Sudbury


PC Party of Ontario Max Massimiliano
Liberal Party Rashid Mukhtar Choudhry
Ontario NDP Jamie West
Green Party David Robinson
New Blue Party Brady Legault
Independent J. David Popescu

Candidates listed here are on the Elections Ontario website.

Sudbury 33% ± 9% NDP 33% ± 9%▼ PCPO 24% ± 8% OLP 6% ± 4% GPO NDP 2022 40.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 20, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Sudbury 52%▲ NDP 48%▼ PCPO 1% OLP Odds of winning | February 20, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Sudbury

OLP 24% ± 8% PCPO 33% ± 9% NDP 33% ± 9% GPO 6% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Sudbury 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP GPO February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 NDP 34% PCPO 30% OLP 25% GPO 6% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NDP 34% PCPO 30% OLP 25% GPO 7% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 33% NDP 33% OLP 24% GPO 6% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 NDP 34% PCPO 33% OLP 24% GPO 6% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 NDP 34% PCPO 33% OLP 24% GPO 6% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 33% NDP 33% OLP 25% GPO 6% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 33% NDP 33% OLP 25% GPO 6% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 34% NDP 32% OLP 25% GPO 6% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 34% NDP 32% OLP 25% GPO 6% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 33% NDP 33% OLP 25% GPO 6% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 33% NDP 33% OLP 24% GPO 6% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 34% NDP 33% OLP 24% GPO 6% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 34% NDP 32% OLP 25% GPO 6% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 34% NDP 31% OLP 25% GPO 6% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 34% NDP 31% OLP 26% GPO 6% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 34% NDP 32% OLP 25% GPO 6% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 34% NDP 33% OLP 24% GPO 6% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 34% NDP 33% OLP 24% GPO 6% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NDP 34% PCPO 33% OLP 25% GPO 6% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NDP 34% PCPO 33% OLP 25% GPO 6% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 34% NDP 33% OLP 24% GPO 6% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NDP 33% PCPO 33% OLP 24% GPO 6% 2025-02-20

Odds of winning | Sudbury

OLP 1% PCPO 48% NDP 52% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 NDP 72% PCPO 26% OLP 2% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NDP 71% PCPO 28% OLP 2% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 50% NDP 49% OLP 1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 NDP 53% PCPO 47% OLP 1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 NDP 57% PCPO 42% OLP 1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 54% NDP 45% OLP 2% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 53% NDP 45% OLP 1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 60% NDP 38% OLP 1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 59% NDP 40% OLP 1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 54% NDP 44% OLP 1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 51% NDP 49% OLP 1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 56% NDP 43% OLP 1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 61% NDP 37% OLP 2% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 68% NDP 30% OLP 2% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 67% NDP 31% OLP 2% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 58% NDP 40% OLP 2% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 54% NDP 46% OLP 1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 54% NDP 45% OLP 1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 NDP 57% PCPO 42% OLP 1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 NDP 55% PCPO 44% OLP 1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 51% NDP 48% OLP 1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 NDP 52% PCPO 48% OLP 1% 2025-02-20

Recent electoral history | Sudbury



2014 2018 2022 Proj. NDP 42.2% 48.1% 40.8% 33% ± 9% PCPO 13.8% 23.2% 29.0% 33% ± 9% OLP 39.3% 22.4% 19.5% 24% ± 8% GPO 3.6% 4.2% 5.0% 6% ± 4% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 2.5% 1% ± 2%