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Hamilton-Niagara

9 provincial districts
Latest update: April 20, 2026

Hamilton-Niagara 31% 44% 37% ± 7% PC 27% 40% 33% ± 7% NDP 17% 27% 22% ± 5% OLP 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Hamilton-Niagara, 9 federal districts 5 [4-5] NDP 4 [3-5] PC 0  [0-1] OLP 338Canada seat projection | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.

Ontario Projection | Hamilton-Niagara

Ontario Seat Projection | Hamilton-Niagara



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List of districts | Hamilton-Niagara
Latest update: April 20, 2026

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
PC Likely PCPO
Robin Lennox
N Safe NDP
PC Likely PCPO
Monica Ciriello
PC Leaning PCPO
N Likely NDP
Jeff Burch
N Likely NDP
Wayne J. Gates
N Safe NDP
Sam Oosterhoff
PC Safe PCPO
Jennie Stevens
N Likely NDP