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Ontario

Hamilton-Niagara, 9 districts


Latest update: February 8, 2025
Hamilton-Niagara 40% ± 7%▼ PCPO 31% ± 6%▲ NDP 20% ± 5%▲ OLP 6% ± 3% GPO 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 8, 2025
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Hamilton-Niagara, 9 districts 7 [5-8] PCPO 2 [1-4] NDP 0 [0-0] OLP 0 [0-0] GPO 338Canada seat projection | February 8, 2025
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Hamilton-Niagara

OLP 20% ± 5% PCPO 40% ± 7% NDP 31% ± 6% GPO 6% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Hamilton-Niagara 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-01-15 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP GPO February 8, 2025 2025-01-24 PCPO 40% NDP 30% OLP 20% GPO 6% 2025-01-24 2025-01-27 PCPO 38% NDP 32% OLP 19% GPO 6% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 38% NDP 32% OLP 19% GPO 6% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 40% NDP 32% OLP 19% GPO 6% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 40% NDP 32% OLP 19% GPO 6% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 40% NDP 32% OLP 19% GPO 6% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 40% NDP 31% OLP 19% GPO 6% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 40% NDP 31% OLP 19% GPO 6% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 41% NDP 30% OLP 19% GPO 6% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 41% NDP 30% OLP 19% GPO 6% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 40% NDP 31% OLP 20% GPO 6% 2025-02-08

Seat projection | Hamilton-Niagara

PCPO 7 [5-8] NDP 2 [1-4] Seat projection | Hamilton-Niagara 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2025-01-15 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins PCPO NDP February 8, 2025 2025-01-24 PCPO 7 NDP 2 2025-01-24 2025-01-27 PCPO 6 NDP 3 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 7 NDP 2 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 7 NDP 2 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 7 NDP 2 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 7 NDP 2 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 7 NDP 2 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 7 NDP 2 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 8 NDP 1 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 7 NDP 2 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 7 NDP 2 2025-02-08

Seat projection | Hamilton-Niagara


Latest update: February 8, 2025
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2022)
2 2 2 1 7 3
1 0 0 1 2 6
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0

List of electoral districts | Hamilton-Niagara


Latest update: February 8, 2025
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
031 Flamborough—Glanbrook Safe PCPO
036 Hamilton Centre Safe NDP
037 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Likely PCPO
038 Hamilton Mountain Toss up PCPO/NDP
039 Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas Leaning PCPO
070 Niagara Centre Likely PCPO
071 Niagara Falls Toss up PCPO/NDP
072 Niagara West Safe PCPO
103 St. Catharines Leaning PCPO