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Ontario

Hamilton-Niagara, 9 districts



Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2022)
1 2 2 1 6 6
0 2 1 0 3 3
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0




Projection | Hamilton-Niagara


Latest update: February 20, 2024
Hamilton-Niagara 33% ± 7%▼ 32% ± 6%▼ 24% ± 5%▲ 7% ± 3%▲ 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 20, 2024
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Hamilton-Niagara, 9 districts 6 [4-6] 3 [2-5] 0 [0-1] 0 [0-0] 338Canada seat projection | February 20, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Hamilton-Niagara

OLP 24% ± 5% PCPO 32% ± 6% NDP 33% ± 7% GPO 7% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Hamilton-Niagara 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Seat projection | Hamilton-Niagara

OLP 0 [0-1] PCPO 3 [2-5] NDP 6 [4-6] Seat projection | Hamilton-Niagara 6 5 4 3 2 1 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP

List of electoral districts


Latest update: February 20, 2024
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
031 Flamborough—Glanbrook Likely PCPO
036 Hamilton Centre Safe NDP
037 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Leaning PCPO
038 Hamilton Mountain Likely NDP
039 Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas Leaning NDP
070 Niagara Centre Toss up PCPO/NDP
071 Niagara Falls Likely NDP
072 Niagara West Likely PCPO
103 St. Catharines Leaning NDP