Hamilton-Niagara, 9 districts
Safe | Likely | Leaning | Toss up | Projected ahead | Last election (2022) | |
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1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
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2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
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0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Projection | Hamilton-Niagara
Latest update: August 26, 2023
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today.
The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes.
The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean.
Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.
Popular vote projection | Hamilton-Niagara
Seat projection | Hamilton-Niagara
List of electoral districts
Latest update: August 26, 2023
Electoral district | Current party | Latest projection |
---|---|---|
031 Flamborough—Glanbrook | ![]() |
Safe PCPO |
036 Hamilton Centre | ![]() |
Safe NDP |
037 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek | ![]() |
Leaning PCPO |
038 Hamilton Mountain | ![]() |
Likely NDP |
039 Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas | ![]() |
Likely NDP |
070 Niagara Centre | ![]() |
Leaning NDP |
071 Niagara Falls | ![]() |
Likely NDP |
072 Niagara West | ![]() |
Safe PCPO |
103 St. Catharines | ![]() |
Likely NDP |