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Recent electoral history | Simcoe North


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 52% ± 9% 47.0% 49.8% 51.7% OLP 29% ± 8% 17.7% 17.4% 27.4% NDP 9% ± 4% 28.1% 17.7% 9.9% GPO 6% ± 4% 6.7% 8.8% 6.6% NBPO 3% ± 2% 0.0% 3.2% 3.2%

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338Canada Simcoe North projection

Latest update: April 20, 2026

Simcoe North 43% 61% 52% ± 9% PC 21% 37% 29% ± 8% OLP 5% 13% 9% ± 4% NDP 3% 10% 6% ± 4% GPO PC 2025 51.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Simcoe North >99% PC <1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Simcoe North

Odds of winning | Simcoe North