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Ontario


Markham—Thornhill


MPP: Kanapathi, Logan (PC)


Latest projection: March 17, 2023

Likely PCPO
Markham—Thornhill 48% ± 10% PCPO 39% ± 9% OLP 8% ± 4% NDP 3% ± 2% GPO PCPO 2022 48.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2023
50% 100% Markham—Thornhill 90% PCPO 10% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 17, 2023


Popular vote projection | Markham—Thornhill

OLP 39% ± 9% PCPO 48% ± 10% NDP 8% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Markham—Thornhill 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP

Odds of winning | Markham—Thornhill

OLP 10% PCPO 90% NDP <1% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Markham—Thornhill



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 34.9% 50.5% 48.8% 48% ± 10% OLP 51.4% 24.4% 37.5% 39% ± 9% NDP 10.2% 21.3% 9.0% 8% ± 4% GPO 2.3% 2.3% 2.6% 3% ± 2% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 1.3% 1% ± 2% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%