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Recent electoral history | Ottawa South


2018 2022 2025 Projection OLP 52% ± 10% 39.6% 45.1% 53.2% PC 26% ± 8% 29.2% 23.2% 24.6% NDP 17% ± 7% 27.2% 23.8% 17.8% GPO 3% ± 2% 3.1% 4.7% 2.9% NBPO 2% ± 2% 0.0% 1.7% 1.5%

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338Canada Ottawa South projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Ottawa South 43% 62% 52% ± 10% OLP 18% 34% 26% ± 8% PC 11% 24% 17% ± 7% NDP OLP 2025 53.23% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Ottawa South >99% OLP <1% PC <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Ottawa South

Odds of winning | Ottawa South