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Recent electoral history | Scarborough Southwest


2018 2022 2025 Projection NDP 44% ± 10% 45.5% 47.1% 42.9% PC 31% ± 9% 31.3% 27.9% 30.6% OLP 22% ± 8% 18.9% 18.8% 22.9% GPO 3% ± 3% 2.6% 3.6% 3.5%

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338Canada Scarborough Southwest projection

Latest update: March 20, 2026

Scarborough Southwest 34% 54% 44% ± 10% NDP 22% 39% 31% ± 9% PC 15% 30% 22% ± 8% OLP NDP 2025 42.89% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 20, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Scarborough Southwest 98%▼ NDP 2%▲ PC <1% OLP Odds of winning | March 20, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Scarborough Southwest

Odds of winning | Scarborough Southwest