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Ontario


Scarborough Southwest


MPP: Begum, Doly (NDP)


Latest projection: March 17, 2023

Likely NDP
Scarborough Southwest 45% ± 10% NDP 28% ± 8% PCPO 20% ± 7% OLP 4% ± 3% GPO NDP 2022 47.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2023
50% 100% Scarborough Southwest >99% NDP <1% PCPO <1% OLP Odds of winning | March 17, 2023


Popular vote projection | Scarborough Southwest

OLP 20% ± 7% PCPO 28% ± 8% NDP 45% ± 10% GPO 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Scarborough Southwest 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Odds of winning | Scarborough Southwest

OLP <1% PCPO <1% NDP >99% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Scarborough Southwest



2014 2018 2022 Proj. NDP 23.6% 45.5% 47.1% 45% ± 10% PCPO 21.0% 31.3% 27.9% 28% ± 8% OLP 49.9% 18.9% 18.8% 20% ± 7% GPO 4.1% 2.6% 3.6% 4% ± 3% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 1% ± 1% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 1% ± 1%