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Recent electoral history | Mississauga—Erin Mills


2018 2022 2025 Projection OLP 48% ± 10% 25.3% 37.4% 44.2% PC 41% ± 10% 41.7% 42.2% 44.2% NDP 4% ± 3% 27.6% 12.1% 5.5% GPO 3% ± 2% 2.7% 4.3% 2.9% NBPO 2% ± 2% 0.0% 2.6% 2.0% IND 1% ± 2% 0.0% 0.0% 1.1%

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338Canada Mississauga—Erin Mills projection

Latest update: April 20, 2026

Mississauga—Erin Mills 38% 58% 48% ± 10% OLP 32% 51% 41% ± 10% PC 1% 7% 4% ± 3% NDP PC 2025 44.25% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Mississauga—Erin Mills 84%▲ OLP 16%▼ PC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Mississauga—Erin Mills

Odds of winning | Mississauga—Erin Mills