logo
Ontario

Recent electoral history | Mississauga—Erin Mills


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 45% ± 10% 41.7% 42.2% 44.2% OLP 45% ± 10% 25.3% 37.4% 44.2% NDP 4% ± 3% 27.6% 12.1% 5.5% GPO 3% ± 2% 2.7% 4.3% 2.9% NBPO 2% ± 2% 0.0% 2.6% 2.0% IND 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 1.1%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


Ontario flag

338Canada Mississauga—Erin Mills projection

Latest update: March 20, 2026

Mississauga—Erin Mills 35% 55% 45% ± 10% PC 35% 55% 45% ± 10% OLP 1% 7% 4% ± 3% NDP PC 2025 44.25% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 20, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Mississauga—Erin Mills 52%▼ PC 48%▲ OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 20, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Mississauga—Erin Mills

Odds of winning | Mississauga—Erin Mills