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Ontario


York Centre


MPP: Kerzner, Michael (PC)


Latest projection: March 17, 2023

Likely PCPO
York Centre 45% ± 9% PCPO 34% ± 9% OLP 13% ± 5% NDP 3% ± 2% GPO 2% ± 2% ONP 2% ± 2% NBPO PCPO 2022 45.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2023
50% 100% York Centre 97% PCPO 3% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 17, 2023


Popular vote projection | York Centre

OLP 34% ± 9% PCPO 45% ± 9% NDP 13% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | York Centre 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP

Odds of winning | York Centre

OLP 3% PCPO 97% NDP <1% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | York Centre



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 30.9% 50.2% 45.8% 45% ± 9% OLP 48.1% 21.4% 32.0% 34% ± 9% NDP 16.4% 23.4% 14.0% 13% ± 5% GPO 3.3% 2.3% 2.5% 3% ± 2% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 2.4% 2% ± 2% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 1.5% 2% ± 2%