logo
logo
Ontario

Hastings—Lennox and Addington


MPP: Bresee, Ric (PCPO)
Latest projection: February 20, 2025
Safe PCPO

Candidates | Hastings—Lennox and Addington


PC Party of Ontario Ric Bresee
Liberal Party Lynn Rigby
Ontario NDP Jessica Zielke
Green Party Mike Holbrook
New Blue Party Glenn Tyrrell
Ontario Party Derek Sloan

Candidates listed here are on the Elections Ontario website.

Hastings—Lennox and Addington 56% ± 9% PCPO 20% ± 7% OLP 14% ± 6% NDP 5% ± 4% GPO PCPO 2022 47.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 20, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Hastings—Lennox and Addington >99% PCPO <1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 20, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Hastings—Lennox and Addington

OLP 20% ± 7% PCPO 56% ± 9% NDP 14% ± 6% GPO 5% ± 4% ONP 3% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Hastings—Lennox and Addington 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP GPO ONP February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 50% OLP 20% NDP 18% GPO 6% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 51% OLP 20% NDP 18% GPO 6% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 54% OLP 19% NDP 17% GPO 5% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 54% OLP 19% NDP 17% GPO 5% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 53% OLP 19% NDP 17% GPO 5% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 54% OLP 20% NDP 16% GPO 5% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 54% OLP 20% NDP 16% GPO 5% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 55% OLP 19% NDP 16% GPO 5% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 55% OLP 20% NDP 16% GPO 5% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 54% OLP 20% NDP 16% GPO 5% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 55% OLP 19% NDP 16% GPO 5% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 55% OLP 19% NDP 16% GPO 5% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 55% OLP 20% NDP 15% GPO 5% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 55% OLP 20% NDP 15% GPO 6% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 55% OLP 20% NDP 15% GPO 5% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 55% OLP 20% NDP 14% GPO 6% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 56% OLP 20% NDP 14% GPO 5% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 56% OLP 20% NDP 14% GPO 5% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 55% OLP 21% NDP 14% GPO 6% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 55% OLP 21% NDP 14% GPO 6% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 56% OLP 20% NDP 14% GPO 5% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 56% OLP 20% NDP 14% GPO 5% 2025-02-20

Odds of winning | Hastings—Lennox and Addington

OLP <1% PCPO >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-20

Recent electoral history | Hastings—Lennox and Addington



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 39.7% 50.3% 47.6% 56% ± 9% NDP 22.9% 32.1% 19.0% 14% ± 6% OLP 31.2% 11.5% 18.5% 20% ± 7% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 3% ± 3% GPO 5.6% 4.2% 4.6% 5% ± 4% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 3.0% 1% ± 2%