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Ontario


Hastings—Lennox and Addington


MPP: Bresee, Ric (PCPO)


Latest projection: February 20, 2024

Safe PCPO
Hastings—Lennox and Addington 44% ± 9%▼ 23% ± 7%▲ 19% ± 7% 6% ± 4% 6% ± 4% PCPO 2022 47.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 20, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Hastings—Lennox and Addington >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | February 20, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Hastings—Lennox and Addington

OLP 23% ± 7% PCPO 44% ± 9% NDP 19% ± 7% GPO 6% ± 4% ONP 6% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Hastings—Lennox and Addington 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO ONP

Odds of winning | Hastings—Lennox and Addington

OLP <1% PCPO >99% NDP <1% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Hastings—Lennox and Addington



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 39.7% 50.3% 47.6% 44% ± 9% NDP 22.9% 32.1% 19.0% 19% ± 7% OLP 31.2% 11.5% 18.5% 23% ± 7% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 6% ± 4% GPO 5.6% 4.2% 4.6% 6% ± 4% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 3.0% 2% ± 2%