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Ontario

Richmond Hill


MPP elect: Daisy Wai (PCPO)
Latest projection: February 28, 2025
Safe PCPO

Candidates | Richmond Hill


PC Party of Ontario Daisy Wai
Liberal Party Roozbeh Farhadi
Ontario NDP Raymond Bhushan
Green Party Alison Lam

Candidates listed here are on the Elections Ontario website.

Richmond Hill 55% ± 0%▲ PCPO 34% ± 0%▼ OLP 6% ± 0%▼ NDP PCPO 2022 52.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 28, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Richmond Hill >99% PCPO <1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 28, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Richmond Hill

OLP 34% ± 0% PCPO 55% ± 0% NDP 6% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Richmond Hill 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 28, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 52% OLP 34% NDP 9% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 52% OLP 34% NDP 9% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 54% OLP 32% NDP 9% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 54% OLP 32% NDP 9% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 54% OLP 33% NDP 9% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 54% OLP 33% NDP 8% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 54% OLP 33% NDP 8% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 55% OLP 33% NDP 8% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 55% OLP 33% NDP 8% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 52% OLP 35% NDP 8% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 53% OLP 34% NDP 8% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 52% OLP 35% NDP 8% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 52% OLP 35% NDP 8% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 52% OLP 35% NDP 7% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 53% OLP 36% NDP 7% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 53% OLP 35% NDP 7% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 53% OLP 35% NDP 7% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 53% OLP 35% NDP 7% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 52% OLP 36% NDP 7% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 52% OLP 36% NDP 7% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 53% OLP 35% NDP 7% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 53% OLP 35% NDP 7% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PCPO 53% OLP 35% NDP 7% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PCPO 53% OLP 35% NDP 7% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PCPO 53% OLP 35% NDP 7% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PCPO 53% OLP 35% NDP 7% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PCPO 53% OLP 35% NDP 7% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PCPO 54% OLP 35% NDP 7% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PCPO 54% OLP 35% NDP 7% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PCPO 55% OLP 34% NDP 6% 2025-02-28

Odds of winning | Richmond Hill

OLP <1% PCPO >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 28, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PCPO >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-28

Recent electoral history | Richmond Hill



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 35.7% 51.2% 52.6% 55% ± 0% OLP 48.2% 27.9% 31.5% 34% ± 0% NDP 11.3% 17.3% 9.1% 6% ± 0% GPO 3.2% 2.9% 3.0% 3% ± 0% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 1.8% 2% ± 0%