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Ontario


Richmond Hill


MPP: Wai, Daisy (PCPO)


Latest projection: February 20, 2024

Likely PCPO
Richmond Hill 47% ± 9%▼ 37% ± 9%▲ 9% ± 4% 4% ± 3% PCPO 2022 52.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 20, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Richmond Hill 94%▼ 6%▲ <1% Odds of winning | February 20, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Richmond Hill

OLP 37% ± 9% PCPO 47% ± 9% NDP 9% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Richmond Hill 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP

Odds of winning | Richmond Hill

OLP 6% PCPO 94% NDP <1% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Richmond Hill



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 35.7% 51.2% 52.6% 47% ± 9% OLP 48.2% 27.9% 31.5% 37% ± 9% NDP 11.3% 17.3% 9.1% 9% ± 4% GPO 3.2% 2.9% 3.0% 4% ± 3% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 1.8% 1% ± 2% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 1.7% 1% ± 1%