Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Ontario Liberal Party

Rank	Electoral districts	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	Ottawa—Vanier	OLP safe	>99%
2.	Thunder Bay—Superior North	OLP safe	>99%
3.	Ottawa Centre	OLP likely	98%
4.	Ottawa South	OLP likely	98%
5.	Thunder Bay—Atikokan	OLP likely	93%
6.	Kingston and the Islands	OLP leaning	81%
7.	Orléans	OLP leaning	80%
8.	Don Valley East	OLP leaning	75%
9.	Scarborough—Guildwood	Toss up	63%
10.	Toronto—St. Paul`s	Toss up	57%
11.	Ottawa West—Nepean	Toss up	53%
12.	Don Valley West	Toss up	48%
13.	Humber River—Black Creek	Toss up	43%
14.	Toronto Centre	Toss up	43%
15.	Beaches—East York	Toss up	33%
16.	Eglinton—Lawrence	Toss up	33%
17.	Glengarry—Prescott—Russell	PCO leaning	26%
18.	Spadina—Fort York	NDP leaning	25%
19.	York South—Weston	Toss up	25%
20.	Etobicoke Centre	PCO leaning	17%
21.	Sudbury	NDP leaning	17%
22.	Mississauga—Lakeshore	PCO leaning	15%
23.	Mississauga East—Cooksville	PCO leaning	14%
24.	University—Rosedale	NDP leaning	12%
25.	Don Valley North	PCO likely	7%
26.	Milton	PCO likely	6%
27.	Oakville	PCO likely	4%
28.	Peterborough—Kawartha	PCO likely	4%
29.	Kitchener Centre	Toss up	3%
30.	Cambridge	PCO likely	3%
31.	Etobicoke—Lakeshore	PCO likely	3%
32.	Mississauga Centre	PCO likely	3%
33.	Mississauga—Erin Mills	PCO likely	2%
34.	St. Catharines	Toss up	2%
35.	Burlington	PCO likely	2%
36.	Ajax	PCO likely	2%
37.	Brampton North	PCO leaning	1%
38.	Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas	PCO leaning	<1%
39.	Mississauga—Streetsville	PCO likely	<1%
40.	Scarborough Centre	PCO likely	<1%

Rank	Electoral districts	Projection
1.	Ottawa—Vanier	OLP safe
2.	Thunder Bay—Superior North	OLP safe
3.	Ottawa Centre	OLP likely
4.	Ottawa South	OLP likely
5.	Thunder Bay—Atikokan	OLP likely
6.	Kingston and the Islands	OLP leaning
7.	Orléans	OLP leaning
8.	Don Valley East	OLP leaning
9.	Scarborough—Guildwood	Toss up
10.	Toronto—St. Paul`s	Toss up
11.	Ottawa West—Nepean	Toss up
12.	Don Valley West	Toss up
13.	Humber River—Black Creek	Toss up
14.	Toronto Centre	Toss up
15.	Beaches—East York	Toss up
16.	Eglinton—Lawrence	Toss up
17.	Glengarry—Prescott—Russell	PCO leaning
18.	Spadina—Fort York	NDP leaning
19.	York South—Weston	Toss up
20.	Etobicoke Centre	PCO leaning
21.	Sudbury	NDP leaning
22.	Mississauga—Lakeshore	PCO leaning
23.	Mississauga East—Cooksville	PCO leaning
24.	University—Rosedale	NDP leaning
25.	Don Valley North	PCO likely
26.	Milton	PCO likely
27.	Oakville	PCO likely
28.	Peterborough—Kawartha	PCO likely
29.	Kitchener Centre	Toss up
30.	Cambridge	PCO likely
31.	Etobicoke—Lakeshore	PCO likely
32.	Mississauga Centre	PCO likely
33.	Mississauga—Erin Mills	PCO likely
34.	St. Catharines	Toss up
35.	Burlington	PCO likely
36.	Ajax	PCO likely
37.	Brampton North	PCO leaning
38.	Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas	PCO leaning
39.	Mississauga—Streetsville	PCO likely
40.	Scarborough Centre	PCO likely