Ontario Liberal Party

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Ontario Liberal Party

Rank	Electoral districts	Current party	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	Ottawa South		Safe OLP	>99%
2.	Ottawa—Vanier		Safe OLP	>99%
3.	Orléans		Safe OLP	>99%
4.	Don Valley East		Likely OLP	>99%
5.	Kingston and the Islands		Likely OLP	94%
6.	Don Valley West		Likely OLP	94%
7.	Scarborough—Guildwood		Likely OLP	91%
8.	Beaches—East York		Leaning OLP	72%
9.	Etobicoke—Lakeshore		Toss up OLP/PCPO	66%
10.	Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte		Toss up OLP/PCPO	65%
11.	Eglinton—Lawrence		Toss up OLP/PCPO	65%
12.	Glengarry—Prescott—Russell		Toss up OLP/PCPO	64%
13.	Kanata—Carleton		Toss up OLP/PCPO	59%
14.	Mississauga East—Cooksville		Toss up OLP/PCPO	52%
15.	Ajax		Toss up OLP/PCPO	52%
16.	Milton		Toss up OLP/PCPO	49%
17.	Mississauga—Erin Mills		Toss up OLP/PCPO	44%
18.	Oakville		Toss up OLP/PCPO	40%
19.	Toronto—St. Paul’s		Toss up OLP/NDP	40%
20.	Humber River—Black Creek		Toss up OLP/NDP	39%
21.	Nepean		Toss up OLP/PCPO	35%
22.	Willowdale		Toss up OLP/PCPO	33%
23.	Scarborough Centre		Toss up OLP/PCPO	32%
24.	Mississauga Centre		Leaning PCPO	29%
25.	Mississauga—Lakeshore		Leaning PCPO	25%
26.	Peterborough—Kawartha		Leaning PCPO	21%
27.	Markham—Thornhill		Leaning PCPO	19%
28.	Toronto Centre		Leaning NDP	18%
29.	Scarborough—Agincourt		Leaning PCPO	16%
30.	Thunder Bay—Superior North		Leaning NDP	16%
31.	Mississauga—Streetsville		Leaning PCPO	15%
32.	Don Valley North		Leaning PCPO	15%
33.	Oakville North—Burlington		Likely PCPO	9%
34.	Markham—Stouffville		Likely PCPO	7%
35.	York Centre		Likely PCPO	4%
36.	Newmarket—Aurora		Likely PCPO	4%
37.	Etobicoke Centre		Likely PCPO	4%
38.	Burlington		Likely PCPO	4%
39.	University—Rosedale		Likely NDP	3%
40.	Vaughan—Woodbridge		Likely PCPO	2%
41.	Mississauga—Malton		Likely PCPO	2%
42.	Thunder Bay—Atikokan		Toss up PCPO/NDP	2%
43.	Pickering—Uxbridge		Likely PCPO	1%