338Canada.com - Ontario - Ontario Liberal Party





Last update: December 10, 2020

LeaderSteven Del Duca
Popular vote in 201819.6%
Current vote projection23.7% ± 4.3%
Current number of MP's8
Current seat projection13 ± 11



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Ontario Liberal Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Ottawa—Vanier OLP safe >99%
2. Thunder Bay—Superior North OLP safe >99%
3. Ottawa Centre OLP likely 98%
4. Ottawa South OLP likely 98%
5. Thunder Bay—Atikokan OLP likely 93%
6. Kingston and the Islands OLP leaning 81%
7. Orléans OLP leaning 80%
8. Don Valley East OLP leaning 75%
9. Scarborough—Guildwood Toss up 63%
10. Toronto—St. Paul`s Toss up 57%
11. Ottawa West—Nepean Toss up 53%
12. Don Valley West Toss up 48%
13. Humber River—Black Creek Toss up 43%
14. Toronto Centre Toss up 43%
15. Beaches—East York Toss up 33%
16. Eglinton—Lawrence Toss up 33%
17. Glengarry—Prescott—Russell PCO leaning 26%
18. Spadina—Fort York NDP leaning 25%
19. York South—Weston Toss up 25%
20. Etobicoke Centre PCO leaning 17%
21. Sudbury NDP leaning 17%
22. Mississauga—Lakeshore PCO leaning 15%
23. Mississauga East—Cooksville PCO leaning 14%
24. University—Rosedale NDP leaning 12%
25. Don Valley North PCO likely 7%
26. Milton PCO likely 6%
27. Oakville PCO likely 4%
28. Peterborough—Kawartha PCO likely 4%
29. Kitchener Centre Toss up 3%
30. Cambridge PCO likely 3%
31. Etobicoke—Lakeshore PCO likely 3%
32. Mississauga Centre PCO likely 3%
33. Mississauga—Erin Mills PCO likely 2%
34. St. Catharines Toss up 2%
35. Burlington PCO likely 2%
36. Ajax PCO likely 2%
37. Brampton North PCO leaning 1%
38. Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas PCO leaning <1%
39. Mississauga—Streetsville PCO likely <1%
40. Scarborough Centre PCO likely <1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Ottawa—Vanier OLP safe
2. Thunder Bay—Superior North OLP safe
3. Ottawa Centre OLP likely
4. Ottawa South OLP likely
5. Thunder Bay—Atikokan OLP likely
6. Kingston and the Islands OLP leaning
7. Orléans OLP leaning
8. Don Valley East OLP leaning
9. Scarborough—Guildwood Toss up
10. Toronto—St. Paul`s Toss up
11. Ottawa West—Nepean Toss up
12. Don Valley West Toss up
13. Humber River—Black Creek Toss up
14. Toronto Centre Toss up
15. Beaches—East York Toss up
16. Eglinton—Lawrence Toss up
17. Glengarry—Prescott—Russell PCO leaning
18. Spadina—Fort York NDP leaning
19. York South—Weston Toss up
20. Etobicoke Centre PCO leaning
21. Sudbury NDP leaning
22. Mississauga—Lakeshore PCO leaning
23. Mississauga East—Cooksville PCO leaning
24. University—Rosedale NDP leaning
25. Don Valley North PCO likely
26. Milton PCO likely
27. Oakville PCO likely
28. Peterborough—Kawartha PCO likely
29. Kitchener Centre Toss up
30. Cambridge PCO likely
31. Etobicoke—Lakeshore PCO likely
32. Mississauga Centre PCO likely
33. Mississauga—Erin Mills PCO likely
34. St. Catharines Toss up
35. Burlington PCO likely
36. Ajax PCO likely
37. Brampton North PCO leaning
38. Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas PCO leaning
39. Mississauga—Streetsville PCO likely
40. Scarborough Centre PCO likely



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