logo
Ontario

Recent electoral history | Peterborough—Kawartha


2018 2022 2025 Projection OLP 41% ± 9% 24.6% 30.6% 36.4% PC 36% ± 8% 37.5% 38.5% 40.5% NDP 17% ± 6% 33.9% 21.4% 17.2% GPO 3% ± 2% 3.4% 3.7% 3.1% NBPO 2% ± 1% 0.0% 2.1% 1.6% ONP 1% ± 1% 0.0% 3.8% 1.2%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


Ontario flag

338Canada Peterborough—Kawartha projection

Latest update: April 29, 2026

Peterborough—Kawartha 33% 50% 41% ± 9% OLP 28% 44% 36% ± 8% PC 11% 23% 17% ± 6% NDP PC 2025 40.49% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Peterborough—Kawartha 83%▲ OLP 17%▼ PC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Peterborough—Kawartha

Odds of winning | Peterborough—Kawartha