logo
Ontario

Toronto, 25 districts


Latest update: May 3, 2024
Toronto 35% ± 6% OLP 32% ± 6%▲ PCPO 25% ± 5% NDP 6% ± 2%▲ GPO 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 3, 2024
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Toronto, 25 districts 10▲ [7-12] PCPO 9▼ [6-12] OLP 6 [5-8] NDP 0 [0-0] GPO 338Canada seat projection | May 3, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Toronto

OLP 35% ± 6% PCPO 32% ± 6% NDP 25% ± 5% GPO 6% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Toronto 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Seat projection | Toronto

OLP 9 [6-12] PCPO 10 [7-12] NDP 6 [5-8] Seat projection | Toronto 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP

Seat projection | Toronto


Latest update: May 3, 2024
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2022)
0 4 3 2 9 4
1 4 3 2 10 12
3 2 1 0 6 9
0 0 0 0 0 0

List of electoral districts | Toronto


Latest update: May 3, 2024
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
007 Beaches—East York Likely OLP
019 Davenport Safe NDP
020 Don Valley East Likely OLP
021 Don Valley North Leaning PCPO
022 Don Valley West Likely OLP
025 Eglinton—Lawrence Toss up OLP/PCPO
028 Etobicoke Centre Likely PCPO
029 Etobicoke North Safe PCPO
030 Etobicoke—Lakeshore Leaning OLP
041 Humber River—Black Creek Leaning OLP
085 Parkdale—High Park Safe NDP
094 Scarborough Centre Toss up OLP/PCPO
095 Scarborough North Likely PCPO
096 Scarborough Southwest Likely NDP
097 Scarborough—Agincourt Leaning PCPO
098 Scarborough—Guildwood Likely OLP
099 Scarborough—Rouge Park Likely PCPO
102 Spadina—Fort York Likely NDP
111 Toronto Centre Toss up OLP/NDP
112 Toronto—Danforth Safe NDP
113 Toronto—St. Paul’s Leaning OLP
114 University—Rosedale Leaning NDP
119 Willowdale Toss up OLP/PCPO
122 York Centre Likely PCPO
123 York South—Weston Leaning PCPO