Toronto
25 provincial districts
Latest update: September 3, 2026
Seat and vote projections — Toronto
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Toronto
25 provincial districts
Latest update: September 3, 2026
Methodology note.
Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Methodology note.
Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.
Ontario Projection | Toronto
Ontario Seat Projection | Toronto
List of districts | Toronto
Latest update: September 3, 2026
| Electoral districts | Current party |
Projection |
|---|---|---|
Mary-Margaret Mcmahon
|
Safe OLP | |
Marit Stiles
|
Safe NDP | |
Adil Shamji
|
Safe OLP | |
Jonathan Tsao
|
Likely OLP | |
Stephanie Bowman
|
Safe OLP | |
Michelle Cooper
|
Toss up OLP/PC | |
Kinga Surma
|
Toss up OLP/PC | |
Doug Ford
|
Safe PCPO | |
Lee Fairclough
|
Likely OLP | |
Tom Rakocevic
|
Leaning NDP | |
Alexa Gilmour
|
Likely NDP | |
David Smith
|
Toss up OLP/PC | |
Raymond Cho
|
Likely PCPO | |
Fatima Shaban
|
Likely NDP | |
Aris Babikian
|
Toss up OLP/PC | |
Andrea Hazell
|
Likely OLP | |
Vijay Thanigasalam
|
Leaning PCPO | |
Chris Glover
|
Likely NDP | |
Kristyn Wong-Tam
|
Likely NDP | |
Peter Tabuns
|
Safe NDP | |
Stephanie Smyth
|
Likely OLP | |
Jessica Bell
|
Likely NDP | |
Stan Cho
|
Toss up OLP/PC | |
Michael Kerzner
|
Likely PCPO | |
Mohamed Firin
|
Leaning OLP |