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Recent electoral history | Mushkegowuk—James Bay


2018 2022 2025 Projection NDP 47% ± 16% 51.8% 47.2% 45.4% PC 44% ± 16% 30.2% 35.8% 45.4% OLP 7% ± 8% 14.1% 11.7% 7.7% GPO 1% ± 3% 1.8% 1.9% 1.5%

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338Canada Mushkegowuk—James Bay projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Mushkegowuk—James Bay 31% 64% 47% ± 16% NDP 28% 61% 44% ± 16% PC -1% 15% 7% ± 8% OLP NDP 2025 45.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Mushkegowuk—James Bay 61%▲ NDP 39%▼ PC <1% OLP Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Mushkegowuk—James Bay

Odds of winning | Mushkegowuk—James Bay