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Ontario


Toronto—St. Paul`s


MPP: Andrew, Jill (NDP)


Latest projection: March 17, 2023

Toss up OLP/NDP
Toronto—St. Paul`s 36% ± 9% OLP 34% ± 9% NDP 22% ± 7% PCPO 6% ± 4% GPO NDP 2022 36.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2023
50% 100% Toronto—St. Paul`s 63% OLP 37% NDP <1% PCPO Odds of winning | March 17, 2023


Popular vote projection | Toronto—St. Paul`s

OLP 36% ± 9% PCPO 22% ± 7% NDP 34% ± 9% GPO 6% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Toronto—St. Paul`s 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Odds of winning | Toronto—St. Paul`s

OLP 63% PCPO <1% NDP 37% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Toronto—St. Paul`s



2014 2018 2022 Proj. NDP 10.5% 36.0% 36.3% 34% ± 9% OLP 59.2% 33.4% 33.7% 36% ± 9% PCPO 24.0% 26.3% 22.4% 22% ± 7% GPO 5.2% 3.2% 5.5% 6% ± 4% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 1% ± 1% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0% ± 1%