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Ontario
Electoral districts
All 124 electoral districts
Toronto
GTA-905
Ottawa
East
Hamilton-Niagara
Southwest
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Parties
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Toronto—St. Paul`s
MPP: Andrew, Jill (NDP)
Latest projection: March 17, 2023
Toss up OLP/NDP
Toronto—St. Paul`s
36% ± 9%
OLP
34% ± 9%
NDP
22% ± 7%
PCPO
6% ± 4%
GPO
NDP 2022
36.3%
338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2023
50%
100%
Toronto—St. Paul`s
63%
OLP
37%
NDP
<1%
PCPO
Odds of winning | March 17, 2023
Popular vote projection | Toronto—St. Paul`s
OLP 36% ± 9%
PCPO 22% ± 7%
NDP 34% ± 9%
GPO 6% ± 4%
Popular vote projection % | Toronto—St. Paul`s
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
Election 2022
OLP
PCPO
NDP
GPO
Odds of winning | Toronto—St. Paul`s
OLP 63%
PCPO <1%
NDP 37%
GPO <1%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
Election 2022
OLP
PCPO
NDP
GPO
Recent electoral history | Toronto—St. Paul`s
2014
2018
2022
Proj.
NDP
10.5%
36.0%
36.3%
34% ± 9%
OLP
59.2%
33.4%
33.7%
36% ± 9%
PCPO
24.0%
26.3%
22.4%
22% ± 7%
GPO
5.2%
3.2%
5.5%
6% ± 4%
NBPO
0.0%
0.0%
1.1%
1% ± 1%
ONP
0.0%
0.0%
0.3%
0% ± 1%