Toronto—St. Paul’s
Latest update: April 29, 2026
L
MPP: Stephanie Smyth
Ontario Liberal Party
Projection — Toronto—St. Paul’s
→
Regional projection — Toronto
→
All Ontario provincial districts
→
Ontario projection map
→
Ontario polls
→
Back to 338Canada Ontario home
→
Ontario simulator
→
Riding roulette!
→
Recent electoral history | Toronto—St. Paul’s
338Canada Toronto—St. Paul’s projection
Latest update: April 29, 2026
Methodology note.
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Methodology note.
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.