logo
Ontario

Recent electoral history | Chatham-Kent—Leamington


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 54% ± 9% 51.9% 47.6% 52.0% OLP 18% ± 6% 8.1% 0.0% 18.4% NDP 17% ± 6% 35.7% 30.2% 17.1% NBPO 8% ± 5% 0.0% 4.0% 7.9% GPO 3% ± 2% 3.5% 3.4% 2.9% ONP 2% ± 2% 0.0% 14.8% 1.6%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


Ontario flag

338Canada Chatham-Kent—Leamington projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Chatham-Kent—Leamington 45% 63% 54% ± 9% PC 11% 24% 18% ± 6% OLP 10% 23% 17% ± 6% NDP 3% 12% 8% ± 5% NBPO PC 2025 52.02% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Chatham-Kent—Leamington >99% PC <1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Chatham-Kent—Leamington

Odds of winning | Chatham-Kent—Leamington