logo
logo
Ontario

Milton


MPP: Hamid, Zee (PCPO)

Latest projection: November 12, 2024
Likely PCPO
Milton 49% ± 9%▲ PCPO 38% ± 9%▼ OLP 7% ± 4% NDP 3% ± 2% NBPO 3% ± 2% GPO PCPO 2022 43.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 12, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Milton 95%▲ PCPO 5%▼ OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | November 12, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Milton

OLP 38% ± 9% PCPO 49% ± 9% NDP 7% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Milton 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP November 12, 2024 2022-04-30 PCPO 41% OLP 40% NDP 11% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 OLP 39% PCPO 39% NDP 15% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PCPO 39% OLP 38% NDP 15% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PCPO 39% OLP 38% NDP 15% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PCPO 39% OLP 38% NDP 15% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PCPO 39% OLP 38% NDP 15% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 OLP 39% PCPO 39% NDP 15% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 OLP 40% PCPO 39% NDP 14% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 PCPO 39% OLP 39% NDP 15% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PCPO 40% OLP 37% NDP 15% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PCPO 40% OLP 37% NDP 15% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PCPO 41% OLP 37% NDP 14% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PCPO 41% OLP 37% NDP 14% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PCPO 41% OLP 36% NDP 15% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PCPO 40% OLP 37% NDP 15% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PCPO 40% OLP 38% NDP 14% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PCPO 40% OLP 37% NDP 14% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PCPO 40% OLP 37% NDP 14% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 PCPO 39% OLP 36% NDP 15% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 PCPO 39% OLP 36% NDP 15% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 PCPO 39% OLP 36% NDP 15% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PCPO 40% OLP 36% NDP 15% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PCPO 40% OLP 36% NDP 15% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PCPO 40% OLP 36% NDP 15% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PCPO 40% OLP 36% NDP 15% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PCPO 39% OLP 35% NDP 16% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PCPO 40% OLP 35% NDP 15% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PCPO 40% OLP 35% NDP 15% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 PCPO 39% OLP 36% NDP 15% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PCPO 39% OLP 36% NDP 15% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PCPO 41% OLP 35% NDP 15% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PCPO 43% OLP 39% NDP 10% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PCPO 43% OLP 39% NDP 10% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PCPO 42% OLP 40% NDP 9% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PCPO 42% OLP 40% NDP 9% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PCPO 42% OLP 40% NDP 9% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PCPO 42% OLP 40% NDP 9% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 OLP 40% PCPO 39% NDP 10% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 OLP 40% PCPO 39% NDP 10% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 OLP 40% PCPO 40% NDP 10% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PCPO 40% OLP 40% NDP 10% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 OLP 42% PCPO 38% NDP 10% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PCPO 40% OLP 40% NDP 10% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PCPO 43% OLP 38% NDP 10% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PCPO 41% OLP 41% NDP 10% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 OLP 42% PCPO 40% NDP 10% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 OLP 44% PCPO 39% NDP 9% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 OLP 42% PCPO 40% NDP 9% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PCPO 41% OLP 41% NDP 10% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PCPO 47% OLP 40% NDP 7% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PCPO 48% OLP 38% NDP 7% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PCPO 50% OLP 38% NDP 7% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 PCPO 48% OLP 39% NDP 7% 2024-10-09 2024-11-11 PCPO 49% OLP 38% NDP 7% 2024-11-11

Odds of winning | Milton

OLP 5% PCPO 95% NDP <1% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO November 12, 2024 2022-04-30 PCPO 53% OLP 47% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 OLP 52% PCPO 48% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PCPO 53% OLP 47% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PCPO 58% OLP 42% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PCPO 56% OLP 44% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PCPO 54% OLP 46% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 OLP 52% PCPO 48% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 OLP 56% PCPO 44% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 PCPO 51% OLP 49% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PCPO 68% OLP 32% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PCPO 68% OLP 32% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PCPO 70% OLP 30% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PCPO 70% OLP 30% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PCPO 77% OLP 23% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PCPO 66% OLP 34% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PCPO 67% OLP 33% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PCPO 71% OLP 29% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PCPO 72% OLP 28% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 PCPO 72% OLP 28% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 PCPO 73% OLP 27% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 PCPO 71% OLP 29% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PCPO 75% OLP 25% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PCPO 74% OLP 26% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PCPO 75% OLP 25% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PCPO 75% OLP 25% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PCPO 77% OLP 23% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PCPO 82% OLP 18% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PCPO 82% OLP 18% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 PCPO 70% OLP 30% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PCPO 69% OLP 31% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PCPO 87% OLP 13% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PCPO 86% OLP 14% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PCPO 72% OLP 28% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PCPO 66% OLP 34% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PCPO 59% OLP 41% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PCPO 59% OLP 41% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PCPO 67% OLP 33% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 OLP 60% PCPO 40% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 OLP 59% PCPO 41% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 OLP 51% PCPO 49% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PCPO 51% OLP 49% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 OLP 76% PCPO 24% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PCPO 51% OLP 49% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PCPO 75% OLP 25% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PCPO 51% OLP 49% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 OLP 58% PCPO 42% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 OLP 80% PCPO 20% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 OLP 63% PCPO 37% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PCPO 53% OLP 47% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PCPO 85% OLP 15% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PCPO 94% OLP 6% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PCPO 97% OLP 3% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 PCPO 94% OLP 6% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-09 2024-11-11 PCPO 95% OLP 5% GPO <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-11

Recent electoral history | Milton



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 37.6% 41.7% 43.1% 49% ± 9% OLP 43.1% 29.8% 38.8% 38% ± 9% NDP 14.4% 22.2% 9.7% 7% ± 4% GPO 3.6% 5.0% 4.1% 3% ± 2% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 4.1% 3% ± 2%