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Ontario


Sault Ste. Marie


MPP: Romano, Ross (PCPO)


Latest projection: February 20, 2024

Likely PCPO
Sault Ste. Marie 41% ± 10%▼ 30% ± 9%▼ 18% ± 7%▲ 3% ± 3% 3% ± 3% PCPO 2022 46.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 20, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Sault Ste. Marie 97%▲ 3%▼ <1% Odds of winning | February 20, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Sault Ste. Marie

OLP 18% ± 7% PCPO 41% ± 10% NDP 30% ± 9% Popular vote projection % | Sault Ste. Marie 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP

Odds of winning | Sault Ste. Marie

OLP <1% PCPO 97% NDP 3% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Sault Ste. Marie



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 12.4% 42.0% 46.9% 41% ± 10% NDP 25.5% 40.7% 37.3% 30% ± 9% OLP 58.5% 10.0% 6.0% 18% ± 7% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 3.3% 3% ± 3% GPO 3.2% 3.3% 2.5% 3% ± 3%