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Ontario

Sault Ste. Marie


MPP elect: Chris Scott (PCPO)
Latest projection: February 28, 2025
Toss up PCPO/NDP

Candidates | Sault Ste. Marie


PC Party of Ontario Chris Scott
Liberal Party Gurwinder Dusanjh
Ontario NDP Lisa Vezeau-Allen
Green Party Jaycob Jacques
New Blue Party Arnold Heino
Ontario Party Paul Frolich

Candidates listed here are on the Elections Ontario website.

Sault Ste. Marie 43% ± 0%▼ PCPO 43% ± 0%▲ NDP 10% ± 0%▼ OLP PCPO 2022 46.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 28, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Sault Ste. Marie 53%▼ PCPO 47%▲ NDP <1% OLP Odds of winning | February 28, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Sault Ste. Marie

OLP 10% ± 0% PCPO 43% ± 0% NDP 43% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Sault Ste. Marie 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 28, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 51% NDP 31% OLP 7% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 51% NDP 30% OLP 7% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 55% NDP 30% OLP 7% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 55% NDP 30% OLP 7% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 55% NDP 30% OLP 8% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 56% NDP 28% OLP 8% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 56% NDP 28% OLP 8% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 57% NDP 27% OLP 8% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 57% NDP 28% OLP 8% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 56% NDP 28% OLP 8% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 56% NDP 28% OLP 8% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 56% NDP 28% OLP 8% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 57% NDP 27% OLP 8% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 58% NDP 26% OLP 8% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 57% NDP 28% OLP 8% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 58% NDP 27% OLP 9% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 58% NDP 27% OLP 9% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 58% NDP 27% OLP 9% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 57% NDP 28% OLP 9% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 57% NDP 28% OLP 9% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 58% NDP 27% OLP 9% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 48% NDP 31% OLP 14% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PCPO 48% NDP 31% OLP 15% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PCPO 49% NDP 32% OLP 13% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PCPO 49% NDP 32% OLP 13% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PCPO 49% NDP 32% OLP 13% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PCPO 49% NDP 32% OLP 13% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PCPO 50% NDP 31% OLP 13% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PCPO 50% NDP 31% OLP 13% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PCPO 43% NDP 43% OLP 10% 2025-02-28

Odds of winning | Sault Ste. Marie

OLP <1% PCPO 53% NDP 47% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 28, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PCPO >99% NDP <1% OLP <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PCPO 53% NDP 47% OLP <1% 2025-02-28

Recent electoral history | Sault Ste. Marie



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 12.4% 42.0% 46.9% 43% ± 0% NDP 25.5% 40.7% 37.3% 43% ± 0% OLP 58.5% 10.0% 6.0% 10% ± 0% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 3.3% 2% ± 0% GPO 3.2% 3.3% 2.5% 1% ± 0% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 0%