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Ontario


Humber River—Black Creek


MPP: Rakocevic, Tom (NDP)


Latest projection: March 17, 2023

Toss up OLP/PCPO/NDP
Humber River—Black Creek 32% ± 8% OLP 32% ± 9% NDP 30% ± 8% PCPO 2% ± 2% GPO 2% ± 2% ONP NDP 2022 34.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2023
50% 100% Humber River—Black Creek 44% OLP 41% NDP 16% PCPO Odds of winning | March 17, 2023


Popular vote projection | Humber River—Black Creek

OLP 32% ± 8% PCPO 30% ± 8% NDP 32% ± 9% Popular vote projection % | Humber River—Black Creek 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP

Odds of winning | Humber River—Black Creek

OLP 44% PCPO 16% NDP 41% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Humber River—Black Creek



2014 2018 2022 Proj. NDP 39.2% 37.4% 34.4% 32% ± 9% OLP 46.7% 27.9% 30.5% 32% ± 8% PCPO 11.0% 30.3% 30.0% 30% ± 8% GPO 1.6% 1.6% 1.9% 2% ± 2% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 1.6% 2% ± 2% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 1.2% 1% ± 2%