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Ontario

Willowdale


MPP: Cho, Stan (PCPO)
Latest projection: February 20, 2025
Likely PCPO

Candidates | Willowdale


PC Party of Ontario Stan Cho
Liberal Party Paul Saguil
Ontario NDP Boris Ivanov
Green Party Sharolyn Vettese
Progress Party Pit Goyal
Independent Lilya Eklishaeva

Candidates listed here are on the Elections Ontario website.

Willowdale 51% ± 9% PCPO 38% ± 9% OLP 6% ± 3%▼ NDP 4% ± 3% GPO PCPO 2022 44.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 20, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Willowdale 98% PCPO 2% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 20, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Willowdale

OLP 38% ± 9% PCPO 51% ± 9% NDP 6% ± 3% GPO 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Willowdale 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP GPO February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 47% OLP 38% NDP 9% GPO 4% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 48% OLP 37% NDP 8% GPO 4% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 50% OLP 36% NDP 8% GPO 4% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 50% OLP 36% NDP 8% GPO 4% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 50% OLP 37% NDP 8% GPO 4% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 50% OLP 37% NDP 7% GPO 4% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 50% OLP 37% NDP 7% GPO 4% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 51% OLP 36% NDP 7% GPO 4% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 51% OLP 37% NDP 7% GPO 4% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 50% OLP 37% NDP 7% GPO 4% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 51% OLP 36% NDP 8% GPO 4% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 51% OLP 36% NDP 7% GPO 4% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 51% OLP 37% NDP 7% GPO 4% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 50% OLP 37% NDP 7% GPO 4% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 51% OLP 38% NDP 7% GPO 4% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 51% OLP 38% NDP 7% GPO 4% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 51% OLP 38% NDP 6% GPO 4% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 51% OLP 38% NDP 6% GPO 4% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 50% OLP 39% NDP 7% GPO 4% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 50% OLP 39% NDP 7% GPO 4% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 51% OLP 38% NDP 7% GPO 4% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 51% OLP 38% NDP 6% GPO 4% 2025-02-20

Odds of winning | Willowdale

OLP 2% PCPO 98% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 93% OLP 7% NDP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 94% OLP 6% NDP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 98% OLP 2% NDP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 98% OLP 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 98% OLP 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 98% OLP 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 98% OLP 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 98% OLP 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 98% OLP 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 98% OLP 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 97% OLP 3% NDP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 96% OLP 4% NDP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 98% OLP 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 98% OLP 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-20

Recent electoral history | Willowdale



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 31.9% 43.7% 44.7% 51% ± 9% OLP 52.8% 26.7% 38.0% 38% ± 9% NDP 11.1% 25.7% 10.3% 6% ± 3% GPO 3.9% 2.3% 3.6% 4% ± 3%