logo
Ontario

Ontario Green Party





Last update: February 20, 2024

LeaderMike Schreiner
Popular vote in 20225.96%
Current vote projection7.1% ± 1.7%
Current number of MPP2
Current seat projection3 [2-3.0]

Seat projection Popular vote projection | February 20, 2024 10 5 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% Vote efficiency | GPO 338Canada ©2023 0.4 seat/% 3 [2-4] 7% ± 2% 2018 2022
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.


Vote projection | February 20, 2024

3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 20% 15% 10% 5% Min. 5.4% 2022 6.0% 7.1% ± 1.7% Max. 8.8% Probabilities % GPO

Seat projection | February 20, 2024

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 65% 60% 55% 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 2022 1 seats Min. 2 3 Max. 4 Probabilities % GPO

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Ontario Green Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Guelph Safe GPO >99%
2. Kitchener Centre Safe GPO >99%
3. Parry Sound—Muskoka Toss up PCPO/GPO 61%