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Ontario

Ontario Green Party





Last update: June 7, 2025

LeaderMike Schreiner
Popular vote in 20225.96%
Current vote projection4.8% ± 0.9%
Current number of MPP2
Current seat projection2 [1-3]

Seat projection Popular vote projection | June 7, 2025 10 5 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% Vote efficiency | GPO 338Canada Ontario 0.5 seat/% 2 [2-3] 5% ± 1% 2018 2022
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.


Vote projection | June 7, 2025

3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Min. 3.9% ▼ 4.8% ± 0.9% ▼ Max. 5.8% ▼ 2022 6.0% Probabilities % GPO

Seat projection | June 7, 2025

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Min. 2 ▼ 2022 1 seats 2 ▼ Max. 3 ▼ Probabilities % GPO

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Ontario Green Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Guelph Safe GPO >99%
2. Kitchener Centre Safe GPO >99%
3. Parry Sound—Muskoka Leaning PCPO 23%