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Ontario

Ontario Green Party





Last update: December 15, 2024

LeaderMike Schreiner
Popular vote in 20225.96%
Current vote projection7.0% ± 1.6%
Current number of MPP2
Current seat projection2 [1-3]

Seat projection Popular vote projection | December 15, 2024 10 5 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% Vote efficiency | GPO 338Canada ©2023 0.3 seat/% 2 [1-3] 7% ± 2% 2018 2022
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.


Vote projection | December 15, 2024

3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 20% 15% 10% 5% Min. 5.4% ▼ 2022 6.0% 7.0% ± 1.6% ▼ Max. 8.6% ▼ Probabilities % GPO

Seat projection | December 15, 2024

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Min. 1 ▼ 2022 1 seats 2 ▼ Max. 3 ▼ Probabilities % GPO

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Ontario Green Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Guelph Safe GPO >99%
2. Kitchener Centre Likely GPO 99%
3. Parry Sound—Muskoka Leaning PCPO 19%