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Recent electoral history | Ajax


2018 2022 2025 Projection OLP 46% ± 10% 25.8% 36.0% 45.7% PC 46% ± 10% 39.1% 40.7% 44.8% NDP 4% ± 3% 31.0% 16.7% 5.6% GPO 2% ± 2% 2.5% 3.5% 2.1% NBPO 1% ± 1% 0.0% 1.7% 1.0%

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338Canada Ajax projection

Latest update: March 20, 2026

Ajax 36% 56% 46% ± 10% OLP 36% 56% 46% ± 10% PC 1% 7% 4% ± 3% NDP OLP 2025 45.66% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 20, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Ajax 53%▲ OLP 47%▼ PC <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 20, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Ajax

Odds of winning | Ajax