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Ontario


Ajax


MPP: Barnes, Patrice (PC)


Latest projection: March 17, 2023

Toss up OLP/PCPO
Ajax 40% ± 9% PCPO 38% ± 9% OLP 15% ± 6% NDP 4% ± 3% GPO 2% ± 2% NBPO PCPO 2022 40.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2023
50% 100% Ajax 64% PCPO 36% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 17, 2023


Popular vote projection | Ajax

OLP 38% ± 9% PCPO 40% ± 9% NDP 15% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Ajax 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP

Odds of winning | Ajax

OLP 36% PCPO 64% NDP <1% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Ajax



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 28.5% 39.1% 40.7% 40% ± 9% OLP 51.8% 25.8% 36.0% 38% ± 9% NDP 16.3% 31.0% 16.7% 15% ± 6% GPO 2.9% 2.5% 3.5% 4% ± 3% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 1.7% 2% ± 2% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 1% ± 1%