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Ontario


Northumberland—Peterborough South


MPP: Piccini, David (PC)


Latest projection: March 17, 2023

Safe PCPO
Northumberland—Peterborough South 50% ± 9% PCPO 26% ± 8% OLP 12% ± 5% NDP 6% ± 4% GPO 3% ± 3% ONP 2% ± 2% NBPO PCPO 2022 51.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2023
50% 100% Northumberland—Peterborough South >99% PCPO <1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 17, 2023


Popular vote projection | Northumberland—Peterborough South

OLP 26% ± 8% PCPO 50% ± 9% NDP 12% ± 5% GPO 6% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Northumberland—Peterborough South 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Odds of winning | Northumberland—Peterborough South

OLP <1% PCPO >99% NDP <1% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Northumberland—Peterborough South



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 35.5% 45.3% 51.0% 50% ± 9% OLP 41.5% 24.2% 25.0% 26% ± 8% NDP 18.5% 24.5% 13.1% 12% ± 5% GPO 4.3% 4.5% 5.7% 6% ± 4% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 3.1% 3% ± 3% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 2.2% 2% ± 2%